MatchWiz

MLS Match BoardSaturday, March 1, 2025

Every MLS match on Saturday, March 1, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches
ML167-162+4.6u
Over 2.5199-130−4.0u
BTTS208-121+0.9u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 201 of 329 on Over 2.5, 91 of 329 on BTTS.

Saturday, March 1

MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 2–0
Match page →
CLTCharlotte FCvsATLAtlanta United FC

Bank of America Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–0
Match page →
RSLReal Salt LakevsSEASeattle Sounders FC

America First Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–1
Match page →
NENew England RevolutionvsCLBColumbus Crew

Gillette Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 4–2
Match page →
ORLOrlando City SCvsTORToronto FC

Inter&Co Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 4–1
Match page →
PHIPhiladelphia UnionvsCINFC Cincinnati

Subaru Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–0
Match page →
RBNYRed Bull New YorkvsNSHNashville SC

Sports Illustrated Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–2
Match page →
CHIChicago Fire FCvsDCD.C. United

Soldier Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–0
Match page →
MINMinnesota United FCvsMTLCF Montréal

Allianz Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–2
Match page →
SKCSporting Kansas CityvsSJSan Jose Earthquakes

Children's Mercy Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–3
Match page →
COLColorado RapidsvsDALFC Dallas

Dick's Sporting Goods Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–0
Match page →
LAFCLAFCvsNYCNew York City FC

BMO Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–0
Match page →
PORPortland TimbersvsATXAustin FC

Providence Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–0
Match page →
SDSan Diego FCvsSTLSt. Louis CITY SC

Snapdragon Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).