MLS Match Board — Saturday, March 15, 2025
Every MLS match on Saturday, March 15, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.
Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 201 of 329 on Over 2.5, 91 of 329 on BTTS.
Saturday, March 15
Toronto FCvs
Chicago Fire FCBMO Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Red Bull New Yorkvs
Orlando City SCSports Illustrated Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
LAFCvs
Austin FCBMO Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
D.C. Unitedvs
CF MontréalAudi Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
New York City FCvs
New England RevolutionYankee Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Charlotte FCvs
FC CincinnatiBank of America Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Sporting Kansas Cityvs
Minnesota United FCChildren's Mercy Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
St. Louis CITY SCvs
Seattle Sounders FCEnergizer Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Houston Dynamo FCvs
Real Salt LakeShell Energy Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
FC Dallasvs
Vancouver WhitecapsToyota Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
San Jose Earthquakesvs
Colorado RapidsPayPal Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
San Diego FCvs
Columbus CrewSnapdragon Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).