MatchWiz

MLS Match BoardSaturday, April 5, 2025

Every MLS match on Saturday, April 5, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches
ML167-160+6.6u
Over 2.5197-130−5.2u
BTTS206-121−0.2u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 199 of 327 on Over 2.5, 89 of 327 on BTTS.

Saturday, April 5

MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 2–1
Match page →
CLTCharlotte FCvsNSHNashville SC

Bank of America Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–0
Match page →
RSLReal Salt LakevsLALA Galaxy

America First Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–1
Match page →
CLBColumbus CrewvsMTLCF Montréal

ScottsMiracle-Gro Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–1
Match page →
RBNYRed Bull New YorkvsCHIChicago Fire FC

Sports Illustrated Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–0
Match page →
PHIPhiladelphia UnionvsORLOrlando City SC

Subaru Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1
Match page →
ATLAtlanta United FCvsDALFC Dallas

Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–0
Match page →
CINFC CincinnativsNENew England Revolution

TQL Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–0
Match page →
ATXAustin FCvsPORPortland Timbers

Q2 Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–0
Match page →
SKCSporting Kansas CityvsSTLSt. Louis CITY SC

Children's Mercy Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–0
Match page →
HOUHouston Dynamo FCvsLAFCLAFC

Shell Energy Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–0
Match page →
VANVancouver WhitecapsvsCOLColorado Rapids

BC Place · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–0
Match page →
SDSan Diego FCvsSEASeattle Sounders FC

Snapdragon Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).