MatchWiz

MLS Match BoardSaturday, April 12, 2025

Every MLS match on Saturday, April 12, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches
ML167-160+6.6u
Over 2.5197-130−5.2u
BTTS206-121−0.2u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 199 of 327 on Over 2.5, 89 of 327 on BTTS.

Saturday, April 12

MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 0–0
Match page →
TORToronto FCvsMINMinnesota United FC

BMO Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–1
Match page →
ATLAtlanta United FCvsNENew England Revolution

Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–0
Match page →
ORLOrlando City SCvsRBNYRed Bull New York

Inter&Co Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–0
Match page →
NYCNew York City FCvsPHIPhiladelphia Union

Citi Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–1
Match page →
DCD.C. UnitedvsCINFC Cincinnati

Audi Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–1
Match page →
MTLCF MontréalvsCLTCharlotte FC

Stade Saputo · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 5–1
Match page →
VANVancouver WhitecapsvsATXAustin FC

BC Place · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–1
Match page →
NSHNashville SCvsRSLReal Salt Lake

GEODIS Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–1
Match page →
DALFC DallasvsSEASeattle Sounders FC

Toyota Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–2
Match page →
COLColorado RapidsvsSDSan Diego FC

Dick's Sporting Goods Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1
Match page →
LALA GalaxyvsHOUHouston Dynamo FC

Dignity Health Sports Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–1
Match page →
LAFCLAFCvsSJSan Jose Earthquakes

BMO Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).