MLS Match Board — Saturday, April 19, 2025

Every MLS match on Saturday, April 19, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches

ML167-160+6.6u

Over 2.5197-130−5.2u

BTTS206-121−0.2u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 199 of 327 on Over 2.5, 89 of 327 on BTTS.

Saturday, April 19

MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge

FT · 1–0

ATX

Austin FCvs

LA Galaxy

Q2 Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–1

CLB

Columbus Crewvs MIA

MIA

Inter Miami CF

Huntington Bank Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–0

SEA

Seattle Sounders FCvs NSH

NSH

Nashville SC

Lumen Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–0

PHI

Philadelphia Unionvs ATL

ATL

Atlanta United FC

Subaru Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–0

New England Revolutionvs NYC

NYC

New York City FC

Gillette Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–2

RBNY

Red Bull New Yorkvs

D.C. United

Sports Illustrated Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–0

MTL

CF Montréalvs ORL

ORL

Orlando City SC

Stade Saputo · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–0

CLT

Charlotte FCvs

San Diego FC

Bank of America Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–2

HOU

Houston Dynamo FCvs COL

COL

Colorado Rapids

Shell Energy Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–0

MIN

Minnesota United FCvs DAL

DAL

FC Dallas

Allianz Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–3

CHI

Chicago Fire FCvs CIN

CIN

FC Cincinnati

Soldier Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–0

STL

St. Louis CITY SCvs VAN

VAN

Vancouver Whitecaps

Energizer Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–1

RSL

Real Salt Lakevs TOR

TOR

Toronto FC

America First Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–3

POR

Portland Timbersvs LAFC

LAFC

LAFC

Providence Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–5

San Jose Earthquakesvs SKC

SKC

Sporting Kansas City

PayPal Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).