MLS Match Board — Saturday, May 3, 2025
Every MLS match on Saturday, May 3, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.
Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 199 of 327 on Over 2.5, 89 of 327 on BTTS.
Saturday, May 3
Atlanta United FCvs
Nashville SCMercedes-Benz Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Toronto FCvs
New England RevolutionBMO Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Columbus Crewvs
Charlotte FCScottsMiracle-Gro Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Inter Miami CFvs
Red Bull New YorkChase Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
D.C. Unitedvs
Colorado RapidsAudi Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
CF Montréalvs
Philadelphia UnionStade Saputo · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Austin FCvs
Minnesota United FCQ2 Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Chicago Fire FCvs
Orlando City SCSoldier Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
San Diego FCvs
FC DallasSnapdragon Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Vancouver Whitecapsvs
Real Salt LakeBC Place · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
San Jose Earthquakesvs
Portland TimbersPayPal Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
LAFCvs
Houston Dynamo FCBMO Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Seattle Sounders FCvs
St. Louis CITY SCLumen Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).