MatchWiz

MLS Match BoardSaturday, May 10, 2025

Every MLS match on Saturday, May 10, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches
ML167-160+6.6u
Over 2.5197-130−5.2u
BTTS206-121−0.2u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 199 of 327 on Over 2.5, 89 of 327 on BTTS.

Saturday, May 10

MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 2–1
Match page →
CHIChicago Fire FCvsATLAtlanta United FC

Soldier Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–0
Match page →
TORToronto FCvsDCD.C. United

BMO Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 4–1
Match page →
MINMinnesota United FCvsMIAInter Miami CF

Allianz Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–3
Match page →
ORLOrlando City SCvsNENew England Revolution

Inter&Co Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–2
Match page →
PHIPhiladelphia UnionvsCLBColumbus Crew

Subaru Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 7–0
Match page →
RBNYRed Bull New YorkvsLALA Galaxy

Sports Illustrated Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–1
Match page →
CINFC CincinnativsATXAustin FC

TQL Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–1
Match page →
NYCNew York City FCvsMTLCF Montréal

Yankee Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–3
Match page →
HOUHouston Dynamo FCvsSEASeattle Sounders FC

Shell Energy Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–1
Match page →
NSHNashville SCvsCLTCharlotte FC

GEODIS Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–2
Match page →
STLSt. Louis CITY SCvsSDSan Diego FC

Energizer Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1
Match page →
DALFC DallasvsRSLReal Salt Lake

Toyota Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–2
Match page →
COLColorado RapidsvsSJSan Jose Earthquakes

Dick's Sporting Goods Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–0
Match page →
PORPortland TimbersvsSKCSporting Kansas City

Providence Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).