MLS Match Board — Saturday, May 17, 2025
Every MLS match on Saturday, May 17, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.
Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 199 of 327 on Over 2.5, 89 of 327 on BTTS.
Saturday, May 17
CF Montréalvs
Toronto FCStade Saputo · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
New York City FCvs
Red Bull New YorkCiti Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Columbus Crewvs
FC CincinnatiScottsMiracle-Gro Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
New England Revolutionvs
San Jose EarthquakesGillette Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Atlanta United FCvs
Philadelphia UnionMercedes-Benz Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Charlotte FCvs
Chicago Fire FCBank of America Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Austin FCvs
Vancouver WhitecapsQ2 Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Minnesota United FCvs
St. Louis CITY SCAllianz Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Nashville SCvs
D.C. UnitedGEODIS Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
FC Dallasvs
Houston Dynamo FCToyota Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Colorado Rapidsvs
Real Salt LakeDick's Sporting Goods Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Portland Timbersvs
Seattle Sounders FCProvidence Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
San Diego FCvs
Sporting Kansas CitySnapdragon Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).