MatchWiz

MLS Match BoardWednesday, May 28, 2025

Every MLS match on Wednesday, May 28, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches
ML167-160+6.6u
Over 2.5197-130−5.2u
BTTS206-121−0.2u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 199 of 327 on Over 2.5, 89 of 327 on BTTS.

Wednesday, May 28

MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 4–2
Match page →
RBNYRed Bull New YorkvsCLTCharlotte FC

Sports Illustrated Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–3
Match page →
NYCNew York City FCvsHOUHouston Dynamo FC

Yankee Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 4–2
Match page →
MIAInter Miami CFvsMTLCF Montréal

Chase Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1
Match page →
DCD.C. UnitedvsNENew England Revolution

Audi Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–3
Match page →
CINFC CincinnativsDALFC Dallas

TQL Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–2
Match page →
ATLAtlanta United FCvsORLOrlando City SC

Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–2
Match page →
TORToronto FCvsPHIPhiladelphia Union

BMO Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–2
Match page →
CLBColumbus CrewvsNSHNashville SC

ScottsMiracle-Gro Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1
Match page →
ATXAustin FCvsRSLReal Salt Lake

Q2 Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–0
Match page →
SEASeattle Sounders FCvsSDSan Diego FC

Lumen Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–1
Match page →
LALA GalaxyvsSJSan Jose Earthquakes

Dignity Health Sports Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–1
Match page →
PORPortland TimbersvsCOLColorado Rapids

Providence Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–0
Match page →
VANVancouver WhitecapsvsMINMinnesota United FC

BC Place · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).