MatchWiz

MLS Match BoardSaturday, June 28, 2025

Every MLS match on Saturday, June 28, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches
ML161-153+8.7u
Over 2.5189-125−1.6u
BTTS199-115+2.5u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 194 of 314 on Over 2.5, 76 of 314 on BTTS.

Saturday, June 28

MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 1–2
Match page →
ORLOrlando City SCvsCINFC Cincinnati

Inter&Co Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–0
Match page →
TORToronto FCvsPORPortland Timbers

BMO Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–1
Match page →
DCD.C. UnitedvsNSHNashville SC

Audi Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–3
Match page →
NENew England RevolutionvsCOLColorado Rapids

Gillette Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–0
Match page →
MTLCF MontréalvsNYCNew York City FC

Stade Saputo · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–2
Match page →
RBNYRed Bull New YorkvsMINMinnesota United FC

Sports Illustrated Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1
Match page →
SKCSporting Kansas CityvsRSLReal Salt Lake

Children's Mercy Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–3
Match page →
DALFC DallasvsSDSan Diego FC

Toyota Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–0
Match page →
HOUHouston Dynamo FCvsSTLSt. Louis CITY SC

Shell Energy Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–2
Match page →
CHIChicago Fire FCvsCLTCharlotte FC

Soldier Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–0
Match page →
SEASeattle Sounders FCvsATXAustin FC

Lumen Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1
Match page →
SJSan Jose EarthquakesvsLALA Galaxy

Stanford Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).