MLS Match Board — Saturday, July 12, 2025

Every MLS match on Saturday, July 12, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches

ML161-153+8.7u

Over 2.5189-125−1.6u

BTTS199-115+2.5u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 194 of 314 on Over 2.5, 76 of 314 on BTTS.

Saturday, July 12

MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge

FT · 2–4

FC Cincinnativs CLB

Columbus Crew

TQL Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–0

Philadelphia Unionvs RBNY

Red Bull New York

Subaru Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1

Orlando City SCvs MTL

CF Montréal

Inter&Co Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1

Toronto FCvs ATL

Atlanta United FC

BMO Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–1

Inter Miami CFvs NSH

Nashville SC

Chase Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–0

Austin FCvs

New England Revolution

Q2 Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–2

Chicago Fire FCvs

San Diego FC

Soldier Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 4–1

Minnesota United FCvs

San Jose Earthquakes

Allianz Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–3

Sporting Kansas Cityvs SEA

Seattle Sounders FC

Children's Mercy Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–0

Charlotte FCvs NYC

New York City FC

Bank of America Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–0

Colorado Rapidsvs VAN

Vancouver Whitecaps

Dick's Sporting Goods Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–0

Real Salt Lakevs HOU

Houston Dynamo FC

America First Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–1

LA Galaxyvs

D.C. United

Dignity Health Sports Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–0

LAFCvs

FC Dallas

BMO Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).