MLS Match Board — Saturday, July 19, 2025

Every MLS match on Saturday, July 19, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches

ML161-153+8.7u

Over 2.5189-125−1.6u

BTTS199-115+2.5u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 194 of 314 on Over 2.5, 76 of 314 on BTTS.

Saturday, July 19

MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge

FT · 2–1

Columbus Crewvs

D.C. United

ScottsMiracle-Gro Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–5

Red Bull New Yorkvs MIA

Inter Miami CF

Sports Illustrated Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–3

Atlanta United FCvs CLT

Charlotte FC

Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–2

New England Revolutionvs ORL

Orlando City SC

Gillette Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–2

CF Montréalvs CHI

Chicago Fire FC

Stade Saputo · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1

Houston Dynamo FCvs PHI

Philadelphia Union

Shell Energy Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–2

Seattle Sounders FCvs

San Jose Earthquakes

Lumen Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1

Sporting Kansas Cityvs NYC

New York City FC

Children's Mercy Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–0

FC Dallasvs STL

St. Louis CITY SC

Toyota Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–0

Nashville SCvs TOR

Toronto FC

GEODIS Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–1

Real Salt Lakevs CIN

FC Cincinnati

America First Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–3

LAFCvs

LA Galaxy

BMO Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1

San Diego FCvs VAN

Vancouver Whitecaps

Snapdragon Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1

Portland Timbersvs MIN

Minnesota United FC

Providence Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).