MLS Match Board — Saturday, August 30, 2025

Every MLS match on Saturday, August 30, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches

ML161-153+8.7u

Over 2.5189-125−1.6u

BTTS199-115+2.5u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 194 of 314 on Over 2.5, 76 of 314 on BTTS.

Saturday, August 30

MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge

FT · 1–2

New England Revolutionvs CLT

Charlotte FC

Gillette Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1

Toronto FCvs MTL

CF Montréal

BMO Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–0

Red Bull New Yorkvs CLB

Columbus Crew

Sports Illustrated Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–2

New York City FCvs

D.C. United

Yankee Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–1

FC Cincinnativs PHI

Philadelphia Union

TQL Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–1

Austin FCvs

San Jose Earthquakes

Q2 Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 4–2

Sporting Kansas Cityvs COL

Colorado Rapids

Children's Mercy Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–3

St. Louis CITY SCvs HOU

Houston Dynamo FC

Energizer Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–1

Nashville SCvs ATL

Atlanta United FC

GEODIS Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1

Minnesota United FCvs POR

Portland Timbers

Allianz Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).