MatchWiz
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MLS Match Board — Saturday, September 6, 2025

Every MLS match on Saturday, September 6, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches
ML161-153+8.7u
Over 2.5189-125−1.6u
BTTS199-115+2.5u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 194 of 314 on Over 2.5, 76 of 314 on BTTS.

Saturday, September 6

MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 3–2
CHIChicago Fire FCvsNENew England Revolution

SeatGeek Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1
STLSt. Louis CITY SCvsDALFC Dallas

Energizer Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1
HOUHouston Dynamo FCvsLALA Galaxy

Shell Energy Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).