MLS Match Board — Saturday, September 13, 2025

Every MLS match on Saturday, September 13, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches

ML161-153+8.7u

Over 2.5189-125−1.6u

BTTS199-115+2.5u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 194 of 314 on Over 2.5, 76 of 314 on BTTS.

Saturday, September 13

MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge

FT · 2–1

FC Cincinnativs NSH

Nashville SC

TQL Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1

D.C. Unitedvs ORL

Orlando City SC

Audi Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–2

CF Montréalvs STL

St. Louis CITY SC

Stade Saputo · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1

New England Revolutionvs TOR

Toronto FC

Gillette Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–0

Charlotte FCvs MIA

Inter Miami CF

Bank of America Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 4–5

Atlanta United FCvs CLB

Columbus Crew

Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–2

Seattle Sounders FCvs

LA Galaxy

Lumen Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–0

FC Dallasvs ATX

Austin FC

Toyota Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–4

San Jose Earthquakesvs LAFC

LAFC

Levi's Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–3

Chicago Fire FCvs NYC

New York City FC

Soldier Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–1

Real Salt Lakevs SKC

Sporting Kansas City

America First Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–1

Colorado Rapidsvs HOU

Houston Dynamo FC

Dick's Sporting Goods Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 7–0

Vancouver Whitecapsvs PHI

Philadelphia Union

BC Place · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–3

San Diego FCvs MIN

Minnesota United FC

Snapdragon Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–1

Portland Timbersvs RBNY

Red Bull New York

Providence Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).