MLS Match Board — Saturday, September 20, 2025

Every MLS match on Saturday, September 20, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches

ML161-153+8.7u

Over 2.5189-125−1.6u

BTTS199-115+2.5u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 194 of 314 on Over 2.5, 76 of 314 on BTTS.

Saturday, September 20

MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge

FT · 2–0

New York City FCvs CLT

Charlotte FC

Yankee Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–0

Philadelphia Unionvs

New England Revolution

Subaru Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1

Atlanta United FCvs

San Diego FC

Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–2

CF Montréalvs RBNY

Red Bull New York

Stade Saputo · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1

Columbus Crewvs TOR

Toronto FC

ScottsMiracle-Gro Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–2

Inter Miami CFvs

D.C. United

Chase Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–2

Orlando City SCvs NSH

Nashville SC

Inter&Co Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–2

Sporting Kansas Cityvs VAN

Vancouver Whitecaps

Children's Mercy Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–3

Minnesota United FCvs CHI

Chicago Fire FC

Allianz Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–1

FC Dallasvs COL

Colorado Rapids

Toyota Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–0

Houston Dynamo FCvs POR

Portland Timbers

Shell Energy Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–3

LA Galaxyvs CIN

FC Cincinnati

Dignity Health Sports Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–3

San Jose Earthquakesvs STL

St. Louis CITY SC

PayPal Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).