MLS Match Board — Saturday, October 4, 2025
Every MLS match on Saturday, October 4, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.
Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 449 of 450 on ML, 258 of 450 on Over 2.5, 211 of 450 on BTTS.
Saturday, October 4
CF Montréalvs
Nashville SCStade Saputo · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
D.C. Unitedvs
Charlotte FCAudi Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
FC Dallasvs
LA GalaxyToyota Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Inter Miami CFvs
New England RevolutionChase Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Orlando City SCvs
Columbus CrewInter&Co Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Philadelphia Unionvs
New York City FCSubaru Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Red Bull New Yorkvs
FC CincinnatiSports Illustrated Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Austin FCvs
St. Louis CITY SCQ2 Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Chicago Fire FCvs
Toronto FCSoldier Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Houston Dynamo FCvs
San Diego FCShell Energy Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Minnesota United FCvs
Sporting Kansas CityAllianz Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Real Salt Lakevs
Colorado RapidsAmerica First Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Seattle Sounders FCvs
Portland TimbersLumen Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).