MLS Match Board — Saturday, October 11, 2025
Every MLS match on Saturday, October 11, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.
Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 194 of 314 on Over 2.5, 76 of 314 on BTTS.
Saturday, October 11
Inter Miami CFvs
Atlanta United FCChase Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Orlando City SCvs
Vancouver WhitecapsInter&Co Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Seattle Sounders FCvs
Real Salt LakeLumen Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
LA Galaxyvs
FC DallasDignity Health Sports Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).