MLS Match Board — Saturday, October 18, 2025

Every MLS match on Saturday, October 18, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches

ML161-153+8.7u

Over 2.5189-125−1.6u

BTTS199-115+2.5u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 194 of 314 on Over 2.5, 76 of 314 on BTTS.

Saturday, October 18

MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge

FT · 4–2

Toronto FCvs ORL

Orlando City SC

BMO Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–2

New England Revolutionvs CHI

Chicago Fire FC

Gillette Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–2

New York City FCvs SEA

Seattle Sounders FC

Citi Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1

Atlanta United FCvs

D.C. United

Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–0

Charlotte FCvs PHI

Philadelphia Union

Bank of America Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–0

FC Cincinnativs MTL

CF Montréal

TQL Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–1

Columbus Crewvs RBNY

Red Bull New York

ScottsMiracle-Gro Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–5

Nashville SCvs MIA

Inter Miami CF

GEODIS Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–4

Portland Timbersvs

San Diego FC

Providence Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–2

Vancouver Whitecapsvs DAL

FC Dallas

BC Place · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–1

San Jose Earthquakesvs ATX

Austin FC

PayPal Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–0

Sporting Kansas Cityvs HOU

Houston Dynamo FC

Children's Mercy Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–1

LA Galaxyvs MIN

Minnesota United FC

Dignity Health Sports Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–2

Colorado Rapidsvs LAFC

LAFC

Dick's Sporting Goods Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–2

St. Louis CITY SCvs RSL

Real Salt Lake

Energizer Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).