MLS Match Board — Sunday, March 8, 2026

Every MLS match on Sunday, March 8, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Sunday, March 8, 2026 · how the model graded

2026 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 259 of 450 on Over 2.5, 212 of 450 on BTTS.

Sunday, March 8

MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge

FT · 0–3

xG2.0–1.1

Match page →

Red Bull New YorkHOME✗57%2.0xG-130fair-150mkt-3.5%

Draw24%—xG+320fair+348mkt+1.5%

CF MontréalAWAY20%1.1xG+410fair+469mkt+2.0%

O2.5 59% · mkt 57% ✓BTTS 58% ✗1H O1.5 40% ✗

FT · 0–1

xG1.6–1.1

Match page →

FC CincinnatiHOME✗47%1.6xG+114fair-117mkt-7.1%

Draw28%—xG+260fair+299mkt+2.7%

Toronto FCAWAY25%1.1xG+293fair+368mktModel lean+4.1%

O2.5 49% · mkt 54% ✓BTTS 53% ✗1H O1.5 33% ✓

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).