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MLS Match Board — Wednesday, May 13, 2026

Every MLS match on Wednesday, May 13, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Wednesday, May 13, 2026 · how the model graded
2026 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 258 of 449 on Over 2.5, 211 of 449 on BTTS.

Wednesday, May 13

MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
FT · 0–1
xG1.7–1.3
Match page →
CLTCharlotte FCHOME✗45%1.7xG+120fair+169mktModel lean+8.3%
Draw26%—xG+280fair+267mkt-1.0%
NYCNew York City FCAWAY28%1.3xG+253fair+181mkt-7.2%
O2.5 56% · mkt 53% ✗BTTS 60% ✗1H O1.5 38% ✓
FT · 3–2
xG1.6–1.5
Match page →
RBNYRed Bull New YorkHOME✓39%1.6xG+159fair+211mktModel lean+6.4%
Draw26%—xG+281fair+306mkt+1.6%
CLBColumbus CrewAWAY35%1.5xG+184fair+131mkt-8.1%
O2.5 59% ✓BTTS 62% ✓1H O1.5 40% ✗
FT · 4–3
xG1.6–1.6
Match page →
ORLOrlando City SCHOME✓38%1.6xG+166fair+166mkt-0.1%
Draw25%—xG+292fair+290mkt-0.1%
PHIPhiladelphia UnionAWAY37%1.6xG+170fair+173mkt+0.3%
O2.5 62% · mkt 60% ✓BTTS 65% ✓1H O1.5 42% ✗
FT · 2–2
xG1.8–1.2
Match page →
MTLCF MontréalHOME✗49%1.8xG+103fair+114mkt+2.5%
Draw26%—xG+290fair+299mkt+0.6%
PORPortland TimbersAWAY25%1.2xG+297fair+259mkt-2.7%
O2.5 57% ✓BTTS 59% ✓1H O1.5 39% ✗
FT · 3–5
xG1.9–2.0
Match page →
CINFC CincinnatiHOME35%1.9xG+185fair+227mktModel lean+4.6%
Draw22%—xG+345fair+327mkt-1.0%
MIAInter Miami CFAWAY✓42%2.0xG+136fair+119mkt-3.4%
O2.5 75% ✓BTTS 74% ✓1H O1.5 52% ✓
FT · 0–3
xG1.4–1.6
Match page →
NENew England RevolutionHOME33%1.4xG+205fair+203mkt-0.3%
Draw27%—xG+274fair+252mkt-1.7%
NSHNashville SCAWAY✓41%1.6xG+147fair+158mkt+1.8%
O2.5 57% · mkt 49% ✓BTTS 60% ✗1H O1.5 38% ✗
FT · 1–3
xG1.8–1.5
Match page →
DCD.C. UnitedHOME✗43%1.8xG+134fair+203mktModel lean+9.7%
Draw25%—xG+299fair+278mkt-1.4%
CHIChicago Fire FCAWAY32%1.5xG+211fair+148mkt-8.1%
O2.5 63% · mkt 55% ✓BTTS 65% ✓1H O1.5 43% ✓
FT · 0–1
xG1.9–1.5
Match page →
MINMinnesota United FCHOME✗47%1.9xG+111fair-121mkt-7.4%
Draw24%—xG+317fair+322mkt+0.2%
COLColorado RapidsAWAY29%1.5xG+249fair+369mktModel lean+7.3%
O2.5 66% · mkt 59% ✗BTTS 67% ✗1H O1.5 45% ✓
FT · 2–1
xG1.5–1.5
Match page →
STLSt. Louis CITY SCHOME✓38%1.5xG+161fair+185mkt+3.2%
Draw27%—xG+277fair+282mkt+0.3%
LAFCLAFCAWAY35%1.5xG+184fair+159mkt-3.4%
O2.5 58% · mkt 56% ✓BTTS 61% ✓1H O1.5 39% ✓
FT · 3–1
xG1.3–1.9
Match page →
SKCSporting Kansas CityHOME26%1.3xG+290fair+323mkt+2.0%
Draw25%—xG+305fair+319mkt+0.8%
LALA GalaxyAWAY✗50%1.9xG+101fair-110mkt-2.6%
O2.5 61% ✓BTTS 62% ✓1H O1.5 42% ✗
FT · 2–3
xG1.4–1.7
Match page →
DALFC DallasHOME29%1.4xG+240fair+278mkt+3.0%
Draw26%—xG+291fair+276mkt-1.0%
VANVancouver WhitecapsAWAY✓45%1.7xG+122fair+113mkt-2.0%
O2.5 60% · mkt 60% ✓BTTS 62% ✓1H O1.5 41% ✗
FT · 3–2
xG1.7–1.5
Match page →
SEASeattle Sounders FCHOME✓42%1.7xG+136fair-137mkt-15.4%
Draw25%—xG+293fair+348mkt+3.1%
SJSan Jose EarthquakesAWAY32%1.5xG+211fair+406mktModel lean+12.4%
O2.5 61% · mkt 60% ✓BTTS 64% ✓1H O1.5 42% ✗
FT · 3–0
xG1.7–1.2
Match page →
RSLReal Salt LakeHOME✓46%1.7xG+116fair-134mkt-11.0%
Draw27%—xG+277fair+325mkt+3.0%
HOUHouston Dynamo FCAWAY27%1.2xG+267fair+417mktModel lean+7.9%
O2.5 55% ✓BTTS 58% ✗1H O1.5 37% ✓
FT · 5–0
xG2.2–1.4
Match page →
SDSan Diego FCHOME✓56%2.2xG-126fair-122mkt+0.7%
Draw22%—xG+360fair+349mkt-0.5%
ATXAustin FCAWAY22%1.4xG+345fair+346mkt+0.1%
O2.5 70% ✓BTTS 68% ✗1H O1.5 48% ✗

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).