MLS Match Board — Friday, September 18, 2026

Every MLS match on Friday, September 18, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

2026 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 218 of 357 on Over 2.5, 119 of 357 on BTTS.

Friday, September 18

MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge

7:30 PM ET

xG1.9–1.3

Match page →

New York City FCHOME50%1.9xG-101fair—mkt—

Draw24%—xG+316fair—mkt—

Red Bull New YorkAWAY26%1.3xG+289fair—mkt—

O2.5 64%BTTS 64%

Apple TV

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).