Serie A Match Board — Saturday, October 10, 2026

Every Serie A match on Saturday, October 10, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

2026-27 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 47 of 50 on ML, 46 of 50 on Over 2.5, 47 of 50 on BTTS.

Saturday, October 10

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge

9:00 AM ET

Proj1.2–1.2

Match page →

GenoaHOME35%1.2proj+188fair+236mktModel lean+5.0%

Draw30%—proj+234fair+247mkt+1.1%

FiorentinaAWAY35%1.2proj+183fair+141mkt-6.2%

O2.5 44% · mkt 47%BTTS 51%1H O1.5 30%

Paramount+

12:00 PM ET

Proj2.2–0.8

Match page →

InternazionaleHOME68%2.2proj-213fair-482mkt-14.8%

Draw20%—proj+390fair+812mktModel lean+9.4%

ParmaAWAY12%0.8proj+766fair+1589mktModel lean+5.6%

O2.5 57%BTTS 50%1H O1.5 39%

Paramount+

2:45 PM ET

Proj1.2–1.1

Match page →

NapoliHOME37%1.2proj+171fair-190mkt-28.7%

Draw31%—proj+224fair+406mktModel lean+11.1%

FrosinoneAWAY32%1.1proj+210fair+587mktModel lean+17.7%

O2.5 41%BTTS 48%1H O1.5 28%

Paramount+

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).