MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

Serie A Match Board — Sunday, October 11, 2026

Every Serie A match on Sunday, October 11, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches
ML5-3+0.1u
Over 2.56-2+1.8u
BTTS7-1+4.7u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 7 of 8 matches.

Sunday, October 11

MatchupProbProjFairMktEdge
2:00 PM ET
ATAAtalantavsVENVenezia

New Balance Arena · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET
CAGCagliarivsJUVJuventus

Unipol Domus · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET
COMOComovsROMAAS Roma

Giuseppe Sinigaglia · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET
GENGenoavsFIOFiorentina

Stadio Luigi Ferraris · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET
INTInternazionalevsPARParma

San Siro · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET
LAZLaziovsMONMonza

Olimpico · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET
LECLeccevsBOLBologna

Via Del Mare · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET
NAPNapolivsFROFrosinone

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET
SASSassuolovsMILAC Milan

Mapei Stadium · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

2:00 PM ET
TORTorinovsUDIUdinese

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino · Model line lands closer to kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).