Champions League Match Board — Tuesday, February 24, 2026
Every Champions League match on Tuesday, February 24, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.
Tuesday, February 24, 2026 · how the model graded
2025-26 · last season · all graded matches
Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. No pre-kick prices on these, so it's hit rate only.
Tuesday, February 24
MatchupProbProjFairMkt
Atlético MadridHOME✓53%2.5proj-115fair—mktDraw20%—proj+390fair—mkt
Club BruggeAWAY26%1.7proj+283fair—mktO2.5 79% ✓BTTS 76% ✓
Paramount+
Bayer LeverkusenHOME✗54%1.8proj-119fair—mktDraw25%—proj+300fair—mkt
OlympiacosAWAY21%1.1proj+383fair—mktO2.5 55% ✗BTTS 56% ✗
Paramount+
InternazionaleHOME✗47%1.9proj+113fair—mktDraw24%—proj+318fair—mkt
Bodo/GlimtAWAY29%1.5proj+242fair—mktO2.5 66% ✓BTTS 67% ✓
Paramount+
Newcastle UnitedHOME✓91%4.2proj-967fair—mktDraw6%—proj+1458fair—mkt
FK QarabagAWAY3%0.9proj+3282fair—mktO2.5 88% ✓BTTS 57% ✓
CBSSN · Paramount+
Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).