Champions League Match Board — Wednesday, April 8, 2026

Every Champions League match on Wednesday, April 8, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Wednesday, April 8, 2026 · how the model graded

2025-26 · last season · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. No pre-kick prices on these, so it's hit rate only.

Wednesday, April 8

MatchupProbProjFairMkt

FT · 0–2

Proj2.9–2.2

Match page →

BarcelonaHOME✗54%2.9proj-117fair—mkt

Draw18%—proj+454fair—mkt

Atlético MadridAWAY28%2.2proj+256fair—mkt

O2.5 88% ✗BTTS 84% ✗

Paramount+

FT · 2–0

Proj2.1–1.4

Match page →

Paris Saint-GermainHOME✓54%2.1proj-117fair—mkt

Draw22%—proj+345fair—mkt

LiverpoolAWAY24%1.4proj+325fair—mkt

O2.5 68% ✗BTTS 67% ✗

Paramount+

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model trained on actual goals. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).