Best MLB Doubles Matchups — Tuesday, June 23, 2026
Top doubles spot: Jake McCarthy
Jake McCarthy (COL) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Sonny Gray. The lefty is driving the ball at — 2B/PA against righties this year, a solid bat that turns into a double in about 5% of his trips. And Sonny Gray has been thin against righties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Sonny Gray. It all sets up in a hitter's park, though the weather fights it.
The rest of the top of the board
- Nate Eaton (BOS) (100) vs LHP Sean Sullivan: a solid bat at .045 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
- Zack Gelof (ATH) (96) vs LHP Robbie Ray: a solid bat at .045 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hot bat.
- Luis Arraez (SF) (96) vs RHP Aaron Civale: a solid bat at .045 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Zach Neto (LAA) (96) vs RHP Shane Baz: a solid bat at .045 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Taylor Ward (BAL) (96) vs RHP Ryan Johnson: a solid bat at .045 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) (91) vs LHP Sean Sullivan: a solid bat at .045 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
- Mickey Moniak (COL) (91) vs RHP Sonny Gray: a solid bat at .045 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
Best parks for doubles today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% double park). Top bat there: Jake McCarthy (COL) at 100.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Jake McCarthy (COL), Zack Gelof (ATH), Michael Harris II (ATL), Yandy Díaz (TB), Lane Thomas (KC), and Kevin McGonigle (DET). Cold but due to bounce back: Vaughn Grissom (LAA), Jakob Marsee (MIA), JJ Bleday (CIN), Rafael Devers (SF), and Jesús Sánchez (TOR).
How it played out
2 of the top 10 doubles matchups landed at least one double. Top play Jake McCarthy finished with 0 doubles. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these doubles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's doubles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.