Best MLB Singles Matchups — Thursday, September 3, 2026
Top singles spot: Steven Kwan
Steven Kwan (CLE) tops the board at 100, facing RHP José Soriano. The lefty is lining singles at .210 1B/PA against righties this year — and .268 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a single in about 20% of his trips. And José Soriano has been getting picked apart by righties lately — .200 singles per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .200 in 10 career PA against José Soriano, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) (96) vs RHP Brandon Young: an excellent bat at .181 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.281).
- Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) (90) vs RHP Sandy Alcantara: an excellent bat at .181 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.273).
- Nick Gonzales (PIT) (86) vs RHP Blade Tidwell: an elite bat at .202 into an arm around league average against the same side (.143).
- Freddie Freeman (LAD) (85) vs LHP Quinn Mathews: an excellent bat at .180 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.250).
- George Springer (TOR) (84) vs RHP Tanner Bibee: an elite bat at .199 into an arm tough to string hits off the same side (.083).
- Yandy Díaz (TB) (84) vs RHP Cal Quantrill: an excellent bat at .185 into an arm fairly stingy against the same side (.129).
- Andrew Vaughn (MIL) (83) vs RHP Kevin Gausman: an elite bat at .202 into an arm tough to string hits off the same side (.111).
Platoon edges to target
- Steven Kwan (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .210 against righties this year.
- Jac Caglianone (KC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .165 against righties this year.
- Chandler Simpson (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .262 against righties this year.
- Chase DeLauter (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .154 against righties this year.
- Josh Naylor (SEA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .183 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Otto Lopez (MIA), Mookie Betts (LAD), Jackson Chourio (MIL), William Contreras (MIL), Rafael Devers (SF), and Brandon Nimmo (TEX). Cold but due to bounce back: Alec Burleson (STL), Jose Altuve (HOU), Vinnie Pasquantino (KC), Sam Antonacci (CWS), and Jung Hoo Lee (SF).
Lineup watch
162 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these singles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's singles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.