MLS Match Board — Saturday, March 4, 2023
Every MLS match on Saturday, March 4, 2023 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.
Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 201 of 329 on Over 2.5, 91 of 329 on BTTS.
Saturday, March 4
LAFCvs
Portland TimbersBMO Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Inter Miami CFvs
Philadelphia UnionChase Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Orlando City SCvs
FC CincinnatiInter&Co Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Red Bull New Yorkvs
Nashville SCSports Illustrated Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Atlanta United FCvs
Toronto FCMercedes-Benz Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Columbus Crewvs
D.C. UnitedScottsMiracle-Gro Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
New England Revolutionvs
Houston Dynamo FCGillette Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
St. Louis CITY SCvs
Charlotte FCEnergizer Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Austin FCvs
CF MontréalQ2 Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Chicago Fire FCvs
New York City FCSoldier Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
FC Dallasvs
LA GalaxyToyota Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Colorado Rapidsvs
Sporting Kansas CityDick's Sporting Goods Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Seattle Sounders FCvs
Real Salt LakeLumen Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
San Jose Earthquakesvs
Vancouver WhitecapsPayPal Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).