MLS Match Board — Saturday, March 11, 2023
Every MLS match on Saturday, March 11, 2023 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.
Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 201 of 329 on Over 2.5, 91 of 329 on BTTS.
Saturday, March 11
Charlotte FCvs
Atlanta United FCBank of America Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Vancouver Whitecapsvs
FC DallasBC Place · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
D.C. Unitedvs
Orlando City SCAudi Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Toronto FCvs
Columbus CrewBMO Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
New York City FCvs
Inter Miami CFYankee Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
FC Cincinnativs
Seattle Sounders FCTQL Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Philadelphia Unionvs
Chicago Fire FCSubaru Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Nashville SCvs
CF MontréalGEODIS Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Sporting Kansas Cityvs
LA GalaxyChildren's Mercy Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Minnesota United FCvs
Red Bull New YorkAllianz Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Real Salt Lakevs
Austin FCAmerica First Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
San Jose Earthquakesvs
Colorado RapidsPayPal Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Portland Timbersvs
St. Louis CITY SCProvidence Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).