MatchWiz

MLS Match BoardSaturday, October 7, 2023

Every MLS match on Saturday, October 7, 2023 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches
ML167-162+4.6u
Over 2.5199-130−4.0u
BTTS208-121+0.9u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 201 of 329 on Over 2.5, 91 of 329 on BTTS.

Saturday, October 7

MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 3–0
Match page →
RBNYRed Bull New YorkvsTORToronto FC

Sports Illustrated Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–1
Match page →
MIAInter Miami CFvsCINFC Cincinnati

Chase Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 4–1
Match page →
MTLCF MontréalvsPORPortland Timbers

Stade Saputo · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1
Match page →
ATLAtlanta United FCvsCLBColumbus Crew

Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–0
Match page →
DCD.C. UnitedvsNYCNew York City FC

Audi Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–0
Match page →
PHIPhiladelphia UnionvsNSHNashville SC

Subaru Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–2
Match page →
ORLOrlando City SCvsNENew England Revolution

Inter&Co Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–2
Match page →
CHIChicago Fire FCvsCLTCharlotte FC

Soldier Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 5–2
Match page →
MINMinnesota United FCvsLALA Galaxy

Allianz Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 5–1
Match page →
HOUHouston Dynamo FCvsCOLColorado Rapids

Shell Energy Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–4
Match page →
ATXAustin FCvsLAFCLAFC

Q2 Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1
Match page →
DALFC DallasvsSJSan Jose Earthquakes

Toyota Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–3
Match page →
RSLReal Salt LakevsSKCSporting Kansas City

America First Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–0
Match page →
SEASeattle Sounders FCvsVANVancouver Whitecaps

Lumen Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).