MatchWiz

MLS Match BoardSaturday, September 28, 2024

Every MLS match on Saturday, September 28, 2024 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches
ML167-162+4.6u
Over 2.5199-130−4.0u
BTTS208-121+0.9u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 201 of 329 on Over 2.5, 91 of 329 on BTTS.

Saturday, September 28

MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 1–5
Match page →
RBNYRed Bull New YorkvsNYCNew York City FC

Sports Illustrated Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1
Match page →
PHIPhiladelphia UnionvsATLAtlanta United FC

Subaru Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1
Match page →
MIAInter Miami CFvsCLTCharlotte FC

Chase Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–2
Match page →
CINFC CincinnativsLAFCLAFC

TQL Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–0
Match page →
MTLCF MontréalvsSJSan Jose Earthquakes

Stade Saputo · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–2
Match page →
DCD.C. UnitedvsCLBColumbus Crew

Audi Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–0
Match page →
NENew England RevolutionvsNSHNashville SC

Gillette Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–0
Match page →
MINMinnesota United FCvsCOLColorado Rapids

Allianz Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–2
Match page →
ATXAustin FCvsRSLReal Salt Lake

Q2 Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1
Match page →
CHIChicago Fire FCvsTORToronto FC

SeatGeek Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–1
Match page →
STLSt. Louis CITY SCvsSKCSporting Kansas City

Energizer Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–3
Match page →
DALFC DallasvsORLOrlando City SC

Toyota Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–0
Match page →
SEASeattle Sounders FCvsHOUHouston Dynamo FC

Lumen Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1
Match page →
VANVancouver WhitecapsvsPORPortland Timbers

BC Place · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).