MatchWiz

MLS Match BoardWednesday, October 2, 2024

Every MLS match on Wednesday, October 2, 2024 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches
ML167-162+4.6u
Over 2.5199-130−4.0u
BTTS208-121+0.9u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 201 of 329 on Over 2.5, 91 of 329 on BTTS.

Wednesday, October 2

MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 2–1
Match page →
ORLOrlando City SCvsPHIPhiladelphia Union

Inter&Co Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–4
Match page →
TORToronto FCvsRBNYRed Bull New York

BMO Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–2
Match page →
NYCNew York City FCvsCINFC Cincinnati

Sports Illustrated Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–2
Match page →
ATLAtlanta United FCvsMTLCF Montréal

Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 4–3
Match page →
CLTCharlotte FCvsCHIChicago Fire FC

Bank of America Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–3
Match page →
CLBColumbus CrewvsMIAInter Miami CF

ScottsMiracle-Gro Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–4
Match page →
NSHNashville SCvsDCD.C. United

GEODIS Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–1
Match page →
HOUHouston Dynamo FCvsNENew England Revolution

Shell Energy Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–3
Match page →
COLColorado RapidsvsLALA Galaxy

Dick's Sporting Goods Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–0
Match page →
RSLReal Salt LakevsMINMinnesota United FC

America First Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–0
Match page →
LAFCLAFCvsSTLSt. Louis CITY SC

BMO Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–3
Match page →
VANVancouver WhitecapsvsSEASeattle Sounders FC

BC Place · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–1
Match page →
PORPortland TimbersvsATXAustin FC

Providence Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–2
Match page →
SJSan Jose EarthquakesvsDALFC Dallas

PayPal Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).