MLS Match Board — Saturday, October 5, 2024
Every MLS match on Saturday, October 5, 2024 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.
Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 201 of 329 on Over 2.5, 91 of 329 on BTTS.
Saturday, October 5
Toronto FCvs
Inter Miami CFBMO Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
New England Revolutionvs
D.C. UnitedGillette Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Atlanta United FCvs
Red Bull New YorkMercedes-Benz Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Charlotte FCvs
CF MontréalBank of America Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
FC Cincinnativs
Orlando City SCTQL Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Vancouver Whitecapsvs
Minnesota United FCBC Place · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Columbus Crewvs
Philadelphia UnionScottsMiracle-Gro Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
St. Louis CITY SCvs
Houston Dynamo FCEnergizer Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Sporting Kansas Cityvs
LAFCChildren's Mercy Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Colorado Rapidsvs
Seattle Sounders FCDick's Sporting Goods Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
LA Galaxyvs
Austin FCDignity Health Sports Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
San Jose Earthquakesvs
Real Salt LakePayPal Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.
Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).