MLS Match Board — Saturday, August 9, 2025

Every MLS match on Saturday, August 9, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches

ML161-153+8.7u

Over 2.5189-125−1.6u

BTTS199-115+2.5u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 194 of 314 on Over 2.5, 76 of 314 on BTTS.

Saturday, August 9

MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge

FT · 1–1

CF Montréalvs ATL

Atlanta United FC

Stade Saputo · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–1

Philadelphia Unionvs TOR

Toronto FC

Subaru Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–0

New England Revolutionvs

D.C. United

Gillette Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–0

FC Dallasvs POR

Portland Timbers

Toyota Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–2

Austin FCvs HOU

Houston Dynamo FC

Q2 Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–1

St. Louis CITY SCvs NSH

Nashville SC

Energizer Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–2

Chicago Fire FCvs LAFC

LAFC

SeatGeek Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 0–2

Sporting Kansas Cityvs

San Diego FC

Children's Mercy Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–1

San Jose Earthquakesvs VAN

Vancouver Whitecaps

PayPal Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).