MLS Match Board — Saturday, July 26, 2025

Every MLS match on Saturday, July 26, 2025 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Season · all graded matches

ML161-153+8.7u

Over 2.5189-125−1.6u

BTTS199-115+2.5u

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 194 of 314 on Over 2.5, 76 of 314 on BTTS.

Saturday, July 26

MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge

FT · 0–0

Inter Miami CFvs CIN

FC Cincinnati

Chase Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–0

Charlotte FCvs TOR

Toronto FC

Bank of America Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–1

Philadelphia Unionvs COL

Colorado Rapids

Subaru Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–4

D.C. Unitedvs ATX

Austin FC

Audi Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–2

Atlanta United FCvs SEA

Seattle Sounders FC

Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–0

Chicago Fire FCvs RBNY

Red Bull New York

Soldier Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 1–2

St. Louis CITY SCvs MIN

Minnesota United FC

Energizer Park · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 2–1

Real Salt Lakevs

San Jose Earthquakes

America First Field · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

FT · 3–0

Vancouver Whitecapsvs SKC

Sporting Kansas City

BC Place · Wasn't priced before kickoff.

Prob / Fair = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. Edge = our probability minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).