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MLS Match Board — Saturday, April 18, 2026

Every MLS match on Saturday, April 18, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Saturday, April 18, 2026 · how the model graded
2026 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 449 of 450 on ML, 258 of 450 on Over 2.5, 211 of 450 on BTTS.

Saturday, April 18

MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
FT · 3–3
xG1.5–1.1
Match page →
TORToronto FCHOME✗45%1.5xG+121fair+107mkt-3.2%
Draw29%—xG+250fair+260mkt+0.8%
ATXAustin FCAWAY26%1.1xG+280fair+320mkt+2.5%
O2.5 47% · mkt 49% ✗BTTS 52% ✓1H O1.5 32% ✓
FT · 4–1
xG1.8–1.5
Match page →
MTLCF MontréalHOME✓44%1.8xG+127fair+197mktModel lean+10.4%
Draw25%—xG+301fair+280mkt-1.4%
RBNYRed Bull New YorkAWAY31%1.5xG+222fair+150mkt-9.0%
O2.5 63% · mkt 60% ✓BTTS 65% ✓1H O1.5 43% ✗
FT · 2–3
xG2.0–1.9
Match page →
COLColorado RapidsHOME✗41%2.0xG+145fair+229mktModel lean+10.3%
Draw23%—xG+340fair+309mkt-1.7%
MIAInter Miami CFAWAY37%1.9xG+174fair+123mkt-8.4%
O2.5 74% ✓BTTS 74% ✓1H O1.5 52% ✓
FT · 3–3
xG1.6–1.6
Match page →
CINFC CincinnatiHOME37%1.6xG+171fair+160mkt-1.6%
Draw25%—xG+294fair+276mkt-1.3%
CHIChicago Fire FCAWAY✗38%1.6xG+165fair+188mkt+2.9%
O2.5 63% · mkt 59% ✓BTTS 65% ✓1H O1.5 43% ✗
FT · 2–1
xG1.4–1.4
Match page →
NENew England RevolutionHOME35%1.4xG+184fair+187mkt+0.3%
Draw27%—xG+264fair+253mkt-0.9%
CLBColumbus CrewAWAY✗37%1.4xG+168fair+171mkt+0.5%
O2.5 54% · mkt 52% ✓BTTS 59% ✓1H O1.5 37% ✓
FT · 0–0
xG1.8–1.0
Match page →
PHIPhiladelphia UnionHOME✗55%1.8xG-124fair-115mkt+1.8%
Draw25%—xG+297fair+270mkt-1.8%
DCD.C. UnitedAWAY19%1.0xG+414fair+417mkt+0.1%
O2.5 53% · mkt 46% ✗BTTS 54% ✗1H O1.5 36% ✓
FT · 0–2
xG1.4–1.6
Match page →
ATLAtlanta United FCHOME32%1.4xG+213fair+236mkt+2.2%
Draw27%—xG+272fair+265mkt-0.5%
NSHNashville SCAWAY✓41%1.6xG+143fair+133mkt-1.7%
O2.5 56% · mkt 53% ✗BTTS 60% ✗1H O1.5 38% ✓
FT · 1–2
xG1.8–1.2
Match page →
NYCNew York City FCHOME✗49%1.8xG+105fair-112mkt-4.2%
Draw26%—xG+290fair+295mkt+0.4%
CLTCharlotte FCAWAY26%1.2xG+290fair+355mkt+3.7%
O2.5 57% · mkt 55% ✓BTTS 60% ✓1H O1.5 39% ✓
FT · 0–1
xG1.8–1.5
Match page →
ORLOrlando City SCHOME✗43%1.8xG+131fair+181mktModel lean+7.7%
Draw25%—xG+304fair+308mkt+0.3%
HOUHouston Dynamo FCAWAY32%1.5xG+213fair+150mkt-8.1%
O2.5 64% ✗BTTS 66% ✗1H O1.5 44% ✓
FT · 2–2
xG1.8–1.3
Match page →
DALFC DallasHOME✗48%1.8xG+107fair+121mkt+3.0%
Draw25%—xG+303fair+279mkt-1.6%
LALA GalaxyAWAY27%1.3xG+271fair+257mkt-1.1%
O2.5 61% · mkt 60% ✓BTTS 63% ✓1H O1.5 42% ✗
FT · 2–0
xG2.0–1.3
Match page →
MINMinnesota United FCHOME✓54%2.0xG-116fair-119mkt-0.7%
Draw23%—xG+327fair+324mkt-0.1%
PORPortland TimbersAWAY23%1.3xG+335fair+351mkt+0.8%
O2.5 64% ✗BTTS 63% ✗1H O1.5 44% ✓
FT · 4–1
xG1.8–1.1
Match page →
SEASeattle Sounders FCHOME✓51%1.8xG-103fair-120mkt-3.8%
Draw26%—xG+291fair+290mkt+0.0%
STLSt. Louis CITY SCAWAY24%1.1xG+324fair+404mkt+3.7%
O2.5 56% · mkt 58% ✓BTTS 58% ✓1H O1.5 38% ✗
FT · 4–2
xG2.0–1.4
Match page →
RSLReal Salt LakeHOME✓49%2.0xG+104fair-153mkt-11.6%
Draw24%—xG+319fair+387mkt+3.3%
SDSan Diego FCAWAY27%1.4xG+267fair+436mktModel lean+8.6%
O2.5 66% ✓BTTS 66% ✓1H O1.5 45% ✗

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).