Who has the best h+r+rbi matchup today (Monday, August 3, 2026)?

Jeremy Peña (HOU) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP the starter. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB h+r+rbi matchups today (Monday, August 3, 2026)?

The top h+r+rbi matchups on Monday, August 3, 2026: Jeremy Peña (100), Junior Caminero (100), Jackson Merrill (100), Manny Machado (100), Ty France (99). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by h+r+rbi upside.

Did the top h+r+rbi matchup get a H+R+RBI on Monday, August 3, 2026?

Yes — Jeremy Peña got 2 H+R+RBI.

How is the h+r+rbi matchup score calculated?

It's a weighted read of the hitter's combined hits + runs + RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — the last two weeks, the current season, and a two-year baseline, with recent form counting most. Then it folds in the opposing bullpen, his expected plate appearances from the batting order, and park and weather. Scores are set 0–100 across the day's slate, so the best matchup is always 100.

What does H+R+RBI mean?

It adds a hitter's hits, runs scored, and runs batted in into one number — the books call it a combo prop. It rewards all-around production: a 2-hit night with a run and an RBI is 4. Per plate appearance, around .45 is league average.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the pitcher, and the park all line up. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It's a ranking of how today's spots stack up against each other — not the odds of a H+R+RBI.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a H+R+RBI.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Most hitters do better against the opposite hand — a lefty bat vs. a righty arm, and vice versa. That gap is the platoon split. The score leans hard on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, which is why the same guy can rank very differently day to day.

What are park factors?

Parks aren't neutral. Dimensions, altitude, and weather make some easier to hit in than others. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it — same hitter, higher grade in a hitter's park than a pitcher's.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a H+R+RBI in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for h+r+rbi props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ H+R+RBI" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against real results, and the top of the board lands a H+R+RBI a lot more often than the slate as a whole. Weights get re-tuned weekly against actual outcomes on a held-out split, and since results sit next to projections, you can audit the hit rate yourself on any past date.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB H+R+RBI matchups — Monday, August 3, 2026

Every hitter on the Monday, August 3, 2026 slate — ranked by combined hits + runs + RBI upside — the best all-around production. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Monday, August 3, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 1/5 (20%) on our H+R+RBI over/under, against 56% on the season.

Top 5

1/520%

season 56%

Top 10

4/1040%

season 58%

Full slate

75/13954%

season 50%

Top call Jeremy Peña came through. Junior Caminero didn't.

Final · 3–6

WSHaway

PHIhomeTop matchup77 Final · 13–7

STLaway

NYYhomeTop matchup62 Final · 4–3

PITaway

MILhomeTop matchup72 Final · 5–1

SFaway

TEXhomeTop matchup63 Final · 5–10

LADaway

CHChomeTop matchup59 Final · 3–1

TORaway

HOUhomeTop matchup100 Final · 13–9

TBaway

COLhomeTop matchup100 Final · 1–5

SDaway

AZhomeTop matchup100

Not starting34 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 178 shownScore

107 with a H+R+RBILive count — updates as games play

1
Alec Burleson1B
STL@NYY· 3-for-5
12H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #42
2
Junior Caminero3B
TB@COL· 2-for-5
8H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.2 H+R+RBI, #2
T2
Jonathan Aranda1B
TB@COL· 4-for-5
8H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.2 H+R+RBI, #6
T2
Jung Hoo LeeRF
SF@TEX· 3-for-4
8H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #51
T2
Nathan ChurchCF
STL@NYY· 2-for-3
8H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.4 H+R+RBI, #125
T2
Tim TawaLF
AZvsSD· 3-for-4
8H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.5 H+R+RBI, #131
T2
Ezequiel TovarSS
COLvsTB· 4-for-4
8H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.5 H+R+RBI, #142
8
Richie Palacios2B
TB@COL· 2-for-4
6H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #37
T8
Taylor WallsSS
TB@COL· 2-for-5
6H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #73
T8
Derek HillCF
PHIvsWSH· 1-for-3
6H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #94
T8
Ezequiel DuranSS
TEXvsSF· 4-for-4
6H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #112
T8
Michael Busch1B
CHCvsLAD· 2-for-4
6H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #120
13
Cedric MullinsCF
TB@COL· 2-for-4
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #22
T13
Seiya SuzukiRF
CHCvsLAD· 1-for-4
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #32
T13
Chandler SimpsonLF
TB@COL· 2-for-4
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #41
T13
Luis García Jr.1B
NYYvsSTL· 2-for-4
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #45
T13
Trent GrishamCF
NYYvsSTL· 2-for-5
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #48
T13
Tommy Edman2B
LAD@CHC· 1-for-4
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #68
T13
Carson KellyC
CHCvsLAD· 1-for-4
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #69
T13
Mickey MoniakLF
COLvsTB· 2-for-4
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #70
T13
Kyle Karros3B
COLvsTB· 2-for-4
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #77
T13
Ryan McMahon3B
NYYvsSTL· 2-for-4
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.5 H+R+RBI, #108
T13
Austin WellsC
NYYvsSTL· 2-for-4
5H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.5 H+R+RBI, #116
24
Jake McCarthyLF
COLvsTB· 1-for-4
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #7
T24
Cole CarriggCF
COLvsTB· 2-for-5
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #13
T24
Bryce Harper1B
PHIvsWSH· 1-for-4
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #35
T24
Daylen LileLF
WSH@PHI· 1-for-4
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #50
T24
Spencer Horwitz1B
PIT@MIL· 1-for-4
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #88
T24
Teoscar HernándezLF
LAD@CHC· 2-for-4
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #101
T24
José FermínLF
STL@NYY· 2-for-5
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.4 H+R+RBI, #121
T24
Endy RodríguezC
PIT@MIL· 3-for-4
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.5 H+R+RBI, #123
T24
Kevin AlcántaraDH
CHCvsLAD· 1-for-1
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.5 H+R+RBI, #132
T24
Joey OrtizSS
MILvsPIT· 3-for-4
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.5 H+R+RBI, #133
T24
Jimmy CrooksC
STL@NYY· 1-for-4
4H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.2 H+R+RBI, #144
35
James McCannC
AZvsSD· 2-for-4
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #9
T35
Abimelec Ortiz1B
WSH@PHI· 1-for-3
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #24
T35
Shohei OhtaniTWP
LAD@CHC· 2-for-4
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #30
T35
Jordan WalkerRF
STL@NYY· 2-for-5
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #31
T35
Jake Bauers1B
MILvsPIT· 1-for-3
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #40
T35
Kazuma Okamoto3B
TOR@HOU· 2-for-4
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #49
T35
Keibert RuizC
WSH@PHI· 2-for-4
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #53
T35
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
CHCvsLAD· 1-for-4
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #60
T35
JJ Wetherholt2B
STL@NYY· 1-for-3
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #78
T35
Alejandro KirkC
TOR@HOU· 1-for-4
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #81
T35
Bryan ReynoldsLF
PIT@MIL· 2-for-5
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #82
T35
José CaballeroSS
NYYvsSTL· 1-for-3
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #92
T35
Kyle TuckerRF
LAD@CHC· 2-for-3
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #114
T35
Yainer DiazC
HOUvsTOR· 2-for-4
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #115
T35
Dansby SwansonSS
CHCvsLAD· 2-for-3
3H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #119
50
Jeremy PeñaSS
HOUvsTOR· 1-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.3 H+R+RBI, #1
T50
Brandon Lowe2B
PIT@MIL· 1-for-5
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #17
T50
Osleivis Basabe2B
SF@TEX· 1-for-3
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #27
T50
Geraldo PerdomoSS
AZvsSD· 2-for-3
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #36
T50
Jake MangumCF
PIT@MIL· 1-for-5
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #54
T50
Andy PagesCF
LAD@CHC· 1-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #55
T50
Alex Bregman3B
CHCvsLAD· 1-for-5
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #59
T50
Nolan Arenado3B
AZvsSD· 1-for-3
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #61
T50
George SpringerDH
TOR@HOU· 1-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #62
T50
Kenny PiperC
TB@COL· 1-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #66
T50
Bryson Stott2B
PHIvsWSH· 1-for-3
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #67
T50
Adrian Del CastilloDH
AZvsSD· 1-for-3
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #76
T50
Edmundo SosaLF
PHIvsWSH· 1-for-2
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #84
T50
Willi Castro2B
COLvsTB· 2-for-5
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #87
T50
Drew GilbertCF
SF@TEX· 1-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #102
T50
Luis CampusanoC
SD@AZ· 2-for-3
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #105
T50
Jesús SánchezRF
TOR@HOU· 1-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #109
T50
Jose Altuve2B
HOUvsTOR· 2-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #110
T50
Andrew Vaughn1B
MILvsPIT· 1-for-3
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #111
T50
Troy JohnstonRF
COLvsTB· 1-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #118
T50
Tyler FreemanRF
COLvsTB· 1-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.5 H+R+RBI, #136
T50
Cam SmithRF
HOUvsTOR· 2-for-4
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.5 H+R+RBI, #138
T50
Myles StrawRF
TOR@HOU· 2-for-3
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.4 H+R+RBI, #143
T50
Blaze Jordan3B
STL@NYY· 1-for-2
2H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI
74
Jackson MerrillCF
SD@AZ· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #3
T74
Ty France1B
SD@AZ· 0-for-3
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.9 H+R+RBI, #5
T74
Yandy DíazDH
TB@COL· 0-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.1 H+R+RBI, #8
T74
James WoodRF
WSH@PHI· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #14
T74
Alec Bohm3B
PHIvsWSH· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #20
T74
Hunter GoodmanC
COLvsTB· 0-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #21
T74
Yordan AlvarezDH
HOUvsTOR· 1-for-3
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #23
T74
Joc PedersonDH
TEXvsSF· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 2.0 H+R+RBI, #25
T74
Luis RengifoLF
SD@AZ· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #29
T74
Bryan De La CruzRF
PHIvsWSH· 0-for-1
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #46
T74
Corey SeagerSS
TEXvsSF· 1-for-3
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #52
T74
Bryan TorresLF
STL@NYY· 1-for-3
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #57
T74
Jackson ChourioLF
MILvsPIT· 0-for-3
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #64
T74
Ketel Marte2B
AZvsSD· 0-for-2
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #65
T74
Christian Walker1B
HOUvsTOR· 1-for-5
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #71
T74
Pedro Ramírez2B
CHCvsLAD· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.8 H+R+RBI, #72
T74
Daniel SusacC
SF@TEX· 0-for-3
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #83
T74
Iván HerreraDH
STL@NYY· 0-for-3
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #85
T74
Esmerlyn ValdezRF
PIT@MIL· 0-for-1
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #86
T74
Jasson DomínguezRF
NYYvsSTL· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #91
T74
Jacob YoungCF
WSH@PHI· 1-for-3
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #96
T74
Freddie Freeman1B
LAD@CHC· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #97
T74
Sung-Mun Song2B
SD@AZ· 1-for-3
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI, #99
T74
Daulton VarshoCF
HOUvsTOR· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.7 H+R+RBI, #103
T74
Masyn WinnSS
STL@NYY· 0-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.5 H+R+RBI, #117
T74
Eliezer AlfonzoC
LAD@CHC· 1-for-3
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.5 H+R+RBI, #124
T74
Austin WynnsC
TEXvsSF· 1-for-2
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.5 H+R+RBI, #126
T74
Christian Koss3B
SF@TEX· 1-for-4
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.5 H+R+RBI, #127
T74
Ernie Clement2B
TOR@HOU· 0-for-2
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.5 H+R+RBI, #128
T74
David Hamilton3B
MILvsPIT· 1-for-2
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.5 H+R+RBI, #134
T74
Grant McCrayCF
SF@TEX· 0-for-2
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.5 H+R+RBI, #139
T74
Xander BogaertsSS
SD@AZ· 1-for-3
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.5 H+R+RBI, #141
T74
Justin CrawfordCF
PHIvsWSH
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.5 H+R+RBI
T74
Ian HappLF
CHCvsLAD· 0-for-1
1H+R+RBIFinal
Proj 1.6 H+R+RBI

Best MLB H+R+RBI Matchups — Monday, August 3, 2026

Jeremy Peña (HOU) is the top h+r+rbi matchup on the Monday, August 3, 2026 board at 100, with Junior Caminero (TB) and Jackson Merrill (SD) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by combined hits + runs + RBI upside — the best all-around production — the bat, the arm and bullpen they face, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top h+r+rbi spot: Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Peña (HOU) tops the board at 100, projected for about 0.50 H+R+RBI per plate appearance across 4.7 projected trips. We build the number bottom-up — summing his projection on every component board — so it moves with each of those matchups instead of a single rate, and inherits their tuning.

The rest of the top of the board

Junior Caminero (TB) (100) vs RHP the starter: a strong bat at .494 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Jackson Merrill (SD) (100) vs RHP the starter: a solid bat at .460 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Manny Machado (SD) (100) vs RHP the starter: a league-average bat at .440 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Ty France (SD) (99) vs RHP the starter: a league-average bat at .448 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Jonathan Aranda (TB) (95) vs RHP the starter: a solid bat at .475 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Jake McCarthy (COL) (93) vs RHP the starter: a solid bat at .461 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Yandy Díaz (TB) (92) vs RHP the starter: a solid bat at .460 into an arm with little track record against the same side.

How it played out

8 of the top 10 h+r+rbi matchups landed at least one H+R+RBI. Top play Jeremy Peña finished with 2 H+R+RBI. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these h+r+rbi matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's combined hits + runs + RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best h+r+rbi matchup today (Monday, August 3, 2026)?: Jeremy Peña (HOU) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP the starter. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB h+r+rbi matchups today (Monday, August 3, 2026)?: The top h+r+rbi matchups on Monday, August 3, 2026: Jeremy Peña (100), Junior Caminero (100), Jackson Merrill (100), Manny Machado (100), Ty France (99). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by h+r+rbi upside.
Did the top h+r+rbi matchup get a H+R+RBI on Monday, August 3, 2026?: Yes — Jeremy Peña got 2 H+R+RBI.
How is the h+r+rbi matchup score calculated?: It's a weighted read of the hitter's combined hits + runs + RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — the last two weeks, the current season, and a two-year baseline, with recent form counting most. Then it folds in the opposing bullpen, his expected plate appearances from the batting order, and park and weather. Scores are set 0–100 across the day's slate, so the best matchup is always 100.
What does H+R+RBI mean?: It adds a hitter's hits, runs scored, and runs batted in into one number — the books call it a combo prop. It rewards all-around production: a 2-hit night with a run and an RBI is 4. Per plate appearance, around .45 is league average.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the pitcher, and the park all line up. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It's a ranking of how today's spots stack up against each other — not the odds of a H+R+RBI.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a H+R+RBI.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Most hitters do better against the opposite hand — a lefty bat vs. a righty arm, and vice versa. That gap is the platoon split. The score leans hard on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, which is why the same guy can rank very differently day to day.
What are park factors?: Parks aren't neutral. Dimensions, altitude, and weather make some easier to hit in than others. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it — same hitter, higher grade in a hitter's park than a pitcher's.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a H+R+RBI in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for h+r+rbi props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ H+R+RBI" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against real results, and the top of the board lands a H+R+RBI a lot more often than the slate as a whole. Weights get re-tuned weekly against actual outcomes on a held-out split, and since results sit next to projections, you can audit the hit rate yourself on any past date.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

What the hits + runs + RBIs board is

The H+R+RBI board projects a hitter's combined H+R+RBI vs the book's line. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His hit, run, and RBI projections, composed from the tuned component boards.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Composed from our tuned hit/run/RBI numbers, this grades efficient — no edge in any gap bin. Transparency board.

How to use it

A tidy one-number read on a hitter's all-around night; research, not a play.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays