Best MLB RBIs Matchups — Monday, July 20, 2026
Top rbis spot: Esmerlyn Valdez
Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Ryan Weathers. The righty is driving in runs at .425 RBI/PA against lefties this year — and .667 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a RBI in about 28% of his trips. And Ryan Weathers has been getting lit up by lefties lately — .156 RBIs per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.3 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Ryan Weathers. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Shea Langeliers (ATH) (100) vs LHP Mitch Bratt: an elite bat at .170 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.250).
- Sal Stewart (CIN) (98) vs RHP George Kirby: an elite bat at .166 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.000).
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (94) vs LHP Cristopher Sánchez: an elite bat at .161 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.071).
- Ketel Marte (AZ) (93) vs LHP Jeffrey Springs: an excellent bat at .150 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.333).
- Manny Machado (SD) (92) vs RHP Bryce Elder: an excellent bat at .158 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.125), due to bounce back.
- Vaughn Grissom (LAA) (91) vs RHP Kyle Leahy: an elite bat at .172 into an arm stingy with runs against the same side (.000).
- Tommy Edman (LAD) (90) vs LHP Cristopher Sánchez: an elite bat at .162 into an arm getting lit up by the same side (.278), hot bat.
Platoon edges to target
- Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) — righty bat vs LHP, .425 against lefties this year.
- Shea Langeliers (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .190 against lefties this year.
- Ketel Marte (AZ) — righty bat vs LHP, .196 against lefties this year.
- Tommy Edman (LAD) — righty bat vs LHP, .308 against lefties this year.
- Jonathan Aranda (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .183 against righties this year.
How it played out
3 of the top 10 rbis matchups landed at least one RBI. Top play Esmerlyn Valdez finished with 2 RBIs. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these rbis matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.