Best MLB Runs Matchups — Tuesday, June 9, 2026
Top runs spot: Christian Yelich
Christian Yelich (MIL) tops the board at 100, facing RHP J.T. Ginn. The lefty is scoring at — R/PA against righties this year, a solid bat that turns into a run in about 12% of his trips. And J.T. Ginn has been thin against righties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned J.T. Ginn too — .500 across 2 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Lawrence Butler (ATH) (100) vs LHP Robert Gasser: a solid bat at .117 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Sam Antonacci (CWS) (100) vs RHP Grant Holmes: a solid bat at .117 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Patrick Bailey (CLE) (96) vs RHP Gerrit Cole: a solid bat at .117 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Trent Grisham (NYY) (96) vs RHP Slade Cecconi: a solid bat at .117 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Eli White (ATL) (92) vs LHP Brandon Eisert: a solid bat at .117 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
- Jake McCarthy (COL) (92) vs RHP Colin Rea: a solid bat at .117 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (92) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: a solid bat at .117 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park, hot bat.
Best parks to score in today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% run-scoring park). Top bat there: Jake McCarthy (COL) at 92.
How it played out
4 of the top 10 runs matchups landed at least one run. Top play Christian Yelich finished with 1 run. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these runs matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's runs scored per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.