Who has the best singles matchup today (Thursday, July 16, 2026)?

A.J. Ewing (NYM) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Aaron Nola. A solid bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB singles matchups today (Thursday, July 16, 2026)?

The top singles matchups on Thursday, July 16, 2026: A.J. Ewing (100), Trea Turner (100), Juan Soto (88), Kyle Schwarber (88), Bo Bichette (77). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by singles upside.

Did the top singles matchup get a single on Thursday, July 16, 2026?

Yes — A.J. Ewing got 1 single.

How is the singles matchup score calculated?

It's a weighted read of the hitter's singles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — the last two weeks, the current season, and a two-year baseline, with recent form counting most. Then it folds in the opposing bullpen, his expected plate appearances from the batting order, and park and weather. Scores are set 0–100 across the day's slate, so the best matchup is always 100.

What does 1B/PA mean?

Singles per plate appearance — how often a hitter gets a one-base hit. Around .14 (roughly one every seven trips) is league average. It rewards contact hitters rather than sluggers: a single is the most common hit in baseball, so this board tends to favour high-average bats over power.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the pitcher, and the park all line up. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It's a ranking of how today's spots stack up against each other — not the odds of a single.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a single.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Most hitters do better against the opposite hand — a lefty bat vs. a righty arm, and vice versa. That gap is the platoon split. The score leans hard on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, which is why the same guy can rank very differently day to day.

What are park factors?

Parks aren't neutral. Dimensions, altitude, and weather make some easier to hit in than others. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it — same hitter, higher grade in a hitter's park than a pitcher's.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a single in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for singles props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ single" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against real results, and the top of the board lands a single a lot more often than the slate as a whole. Weights get re-tuned weekly against actual outcomes on a held-out split, and since results sit next to projections, you can audit the hit rate yourself on any past date.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB singles matchups — Thursday, July 16, 2026

Every hitter on the Thursday, July 16, 2026 slate — ranked by singles upside. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Thursday, July 16, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 4/5 (80%) on 1+ single.

Top 5

4/580%

graded

Top 10

6/1060%

graded

Full slate

9/1850%

graded

Top call A.J. Ewing came through. Bo Bichette didn't.

Final · 4–1

NYMaway

PHIhomeTop matchup100

Not starting6 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 24 shownScore

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Singles / PA vs RHP.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · singles vs LHB14.5%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up singles to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

W–L3–9

ERA5.61

WHIP1.45

IP114.0

H / K / BB126 / 116 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · Singles allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.335

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331

Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-3

Hits2 in 3 PA

Career Average.667

Plate Appearances3

HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Singles0.708

A rough estimate of singles to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

A.J. Ewing's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.65

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.7×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Singles / PA vs RHP.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · singles vs RHB14.5%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up singles to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L3–2

ERA3.13

WHIP1.26

IP63.1

H / K / BB51 / 78 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · Singles allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.302

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.318

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Hits0 in 2 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Singles0.708

A rough estimate of singles to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Trea Turner's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Singles / PA vs RHP.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · singles vs LHB14.5%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up singles to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

W–L3–9

ERA5.61

WHIP1.45

IP114.0

H / K / BB126 / 116 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · Singles allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.401

Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331

Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head11-for-42

Hits11 in 59 PA

Career Average.186

Plate Appearances59

HR · K · BB5 · 11 · 17

Projection

Projected Singles0.693

A rough estimate of singles to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Juan Soto's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.55

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Singles / PA vs RHP.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · singles vs LHB14.5%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up singles to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L3–2

ERA3.13

WHIP1.26

IP63.1

H / K / BB51 / 78 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · Singles allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.350

Hard-Hit %41%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-1

Hits0 in 2 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 1

Projection

Projected Singles0.693

A rough estimate of singles to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Kyle Schwarber's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Singles / PA vs RHP.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · singles vs RHB14.5%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up singles to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

W–L3–9

ERA5.61

WHIP1.45

IP114.0

H / K / BB126 / 116 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · Singles allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.329

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head4-for-13

Hits4 in 13 PA

Career Average.308

Plate Appearances13

HR · K · BB1 · 3 · 0

Projection

Projected Singles0.678

A rough estimate of singles to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Bo Bichette's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.45

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.5×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Singles / PA vs RHP.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · singles vs LHB14.5%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up singles to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L3–2

ERA3.13

WHIP1.26

IP63.1

H / K / BB51 / 78 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · Singles allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.360

Hard-Hit %40%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Hits1 in 2 PA

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

HR · K · BB1 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Singles0.678

A rough estimate of singles to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Bryce Harper's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Singles / PA vs RHP.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · singles vs LHB14.5%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up singles to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

W–L3–9

ERA5.61

WHIP1.45

IP114.0

H / K / BB126 / 116 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · Singles allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.312

Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331

Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head8-for-38

Hits8 in 42 PA

Career Average.191

Plate Appearances42

HR · K · BB1 · 10 · 2

Projection

Projected Singles0.663

A rough estimate of singles to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Francisco Lindor's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~2.4× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Singles / PA vs RHP.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · singles vs LHB14.5%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up singles to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L3–2

ERA3.13

WHIP1.26

IP63.1

H / K / BB51 / 78 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · Singles allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.339

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-2

Hits1 in 2 PA

Career Average.500

Plate Appearances2

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Singles0.663

A rough estimate of singles to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Brandon Marsh's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~2.7× / ~1.6×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Singles / PA vs RHP.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · singles vs LHB14.5%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up singles to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

W–L3–9

ERA5.61

WHIP1.45

IP114.0

H / K / BB126 / 116 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · Singles allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.349

Hard-Hit %38%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331

Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-3

Hits1 in 3 PA

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances3

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Singles0.647

A rough estimate of singles to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Carson Benge's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Singles / PA vs RHP.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · singles vs RHB14.5%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up singles to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L3–2

ERA3.13

WHIP1.26

IP63.1

H / K / BB51 / 78 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · Singles allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309

Hard-Hit %36%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.318

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Singles0.647

A rough estimate of singles to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Alec Bohm's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Singles / PA vs RHP.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · singles vs LHB14.5%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up singles to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

W–L3–9

ERA5.61

WHIP1.45

IP114.0

H / K / BB126 / 116 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · Singles allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.304

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331

Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Singles0.625

A rough estimate of singles to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jorge Polanco's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Singles / PA vs RHP.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · singles vs LHB14.5%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up singles to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L3–2

ERA3.13

WHIP1.26

IP63.1

H / K / BB51 / 78 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · Singles allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.311

Hard-Hit %35%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Hits0 in 2 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Singles0.625

A rough estimate of singles to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Bryson Stott's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Singles / PA vs RHP.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · singles vs LHB14.5%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up singles to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

W–L3–9

ERA5.61

WHIP1.45

IP114.0

H / K / BB126 / 116 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · Singles allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.335

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331

Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-5

Hits1 in 5 PA

Career Average.200

Plate Appearances5

HR · K · BB1 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Singles0.609

A rough estimate of singles to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Jared Young's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Singles / PA vs RHP.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · singles vs RHB14.5%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up singles to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L3–2

ERA3.13

WHIP1.26

IP63.1

H / K / BB51 / 78 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · Singles allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.304

Hard-Hit %31%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.318

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Singles0.609

A rough estimate of singles to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

J.T. Realmuto's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · Singles / PA vs RHP.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · singles vs LHB14.5%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up singles to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L3–2

ERA3.13

WHIP1.26

IP63.1

H / K / BB51 / 78 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · Singles allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Hits0 in 2 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Singles0.594

A rough estimate of singles to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Gabriel Rincones Jr.'s full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.9

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.9×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Singles / PA vs RHP.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · singles vs LHB14.5%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up singles to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

W–L3–9

ERA5.61

WHIP1.45

IP114.0

H / K / BB126 / 116 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · Singles allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.309

Hard-Hit %37%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.331

Hard-Hit % Allowed38%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head1-for-12

Hits1 in 15 PA

Career Average.067

Plate Appearances15

HR · K · BB0 · 4 · 3

Projection

Projected Singles0.594

A rough estimate of singles to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Brett Baty's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Singles / PA vs RHP.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · singles vs LHB14.5%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up singles to LHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L3–2

ERA3.13

WHIP1.26

IP63.1

H / K / BB51 / 78 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · Singles allowed / Batter Faced vs LHB.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs LHB

wOBA Allowed.309

Hard-Hit % Allowed35%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Hits0 in 2 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

HR · K · BB0 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Singles0.579

A rough estimate of singles to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Justin Crawford's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Singles / PA vs RHP.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · singles vs RHB14.5%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up singles to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

W–L3–9

ERA5.61

WHIP1.45

IP114.0

H / K / BB126 / 116 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · Singles allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.315

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.329

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-6

Hits2 in 6 PA

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances6

HR · K · BB1 · 1 · 0

Projection

Projected Singles0.579

A rough estimate of singles to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Francisco Alvarez's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.35

vs SP / Bullpen~3× / ~1.3×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 2 games since a hit

Batter · Singles / PA vs RHP.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · singles vs RHB14.5%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up singles to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

W–L3–9

ERA5.61

WHIP1.45

IP114.0

H / K / BB126 / 116 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · Singles allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.289

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.329

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Singles0.663

A rough estimate of singles to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Eric Wagaman's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.25

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Singles / PA vs RHP.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · singles vs RHB14.5%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up singles to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L3–2

ERA3.13

WHIP1.26

IP63.1

H / K / BB51 / 78 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · Singles allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.269

Hard-Hit %32%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.318

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head0-for-2

Hits0 in 2 PA

Career Average.000

Plate Appearances2

HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Singles0.647

A rough estimate of singles to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Edmundo Sosa's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4.1

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2.1×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Singles / PA vs RHP.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · singles vs RHB14.5%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up singles to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

W–L3–9

ERA5.61

WHIP1.45

IP114.0

H / K / BB126 / 116 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · Singles allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.316

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.329

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head5-for-12

Hits5 in 14 PA

Career Average.357

Plate Appearances14

HR · K · BB0 · 2 · 1

Projection

Projected Singles0.625

A rough estimate of singles to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Tyrone Taylor's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Singles / PA vs RHP.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · singles vs RHB14.5%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up singles to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

W–L3–9

ERA5.61

WHIP1.45

IP114.0

H / K / BB126 / 116 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · Singles allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.293

Hard-Hit %33%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.329

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head2-for-6

Hits2 in 6 PA

Career Average.333

Plate Appearances6

HR · K · BB0 · 0 · 0

Projection

Projected Singles0.609

A rough estimate of singles to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Luis Torrens's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs4

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~2×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Batter · Singles / PA vs RHP.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · singles vs RHB14.5%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up singles to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season14 GS

W–L3–2

ERA3.13

WHIP1.26

IP63.1

H / K / BB51 / 78 / 29

Opposing Bullpen · Singles allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.322

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.318

Hard-Hit % Allowed37%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Singles0.609

A rough estimate of singles to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Derek Hill's full player page →

Context

Expected PAs3.8

vs SP / Bullpen~2× / ~1.8×

BallparkNeutral

WeatherHelping

Recent Form↩ 3 games since a hit

Batter · Singles / PA vs RHP.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Starter allows · singles vs RHB14.5%

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

How often this starter gives up singles to RHBs — the share of batters he faces who do it. This is the opponent half of the projection above.

Opposing Starter · Season22 GS

W–L3–9

ERA5.61

WHIP1.45

IP114.0

H / K / BB126 / 116 / 39

Opposing Bullpen · Singles allowed / Batter Faced vs RHB.145

WindowRateSample

Last 2 Weeks——

Season——

Last 2 Years——

Quality of Contact vs RHP

wOBA.270

Hard-Hit %34%

How well he's squaring up the ball.

Starter Allows · vs RHB

wOBA Allowed.329

Hard-Hit % Allowed30%

How hard hitters are squaring him up.

Head-to-Head

No Prior Matchups—

Projection

Projected Singles0.579

A rough estimate of singles to expect, based on how players have performed in similar matchups.

Zack Short's full player page →

Best MLB Singles Matchups — Thursday, July 16, 2026

A.J. Ewing (NYM) is the top singles matchup on the Thursday, July 16, 2026 board at 100, with Trea Turner (PHI) and Juan Soto (NYM) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by singles upside — the arm and bullpen they face, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top singles spot: A.J. Ewing

A.J. Ewing (NYM) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Aaron Nola. The lefty is lining singles at — 1B/PA against righties this year, a solid bat that turns into a single in about 14% of his trips. And Aaron Nola has been thin against righties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Aaron Nola too — .667 across 3 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.

The rest of the top of the board

Trea Turner (PHI) (100) vs RHP Christian Scott: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Juan Soto (NYM) (88) vs RHP Aaron Nola: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) (88) vs RHP Christian Scott: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Bo Bichette (NYM) (77) vs RHP Aaron Nola: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
Bryce Harper (PHI) (77) vs RHP Christian Scott: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Francisco Lindor (NYM) (65) vs RHP Aaron Nola: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Brandon Marsh (PHI) (65) vs RHP Christian Scott: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.

Hot bats and bounce-back spots

Cold but due to bounce back: Juan Soto (NYM), Bo Bichette (NYM), Brandon Marsh (PHI), Carson Benge (NYM), and Gabriel Rincones Jr. (PHI).

How it played out

6 of the top 10 singles matchups landed at least one single. Top play A.J. Ewing finished with 1 single. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these singles matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's singles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best singles matchup today (Thursday, July 16, 2026)?: A.J. Ewing (NYM) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Aaron Nola. A solid bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB singles matchups today (Thursday, July 16, 2026)?: The top singles matchups on Thursday, July 16, 2026: A.J. Ewing (100), Trea Turner (100), Juan Soto (88), Kyle Schwarber (88), Bo Bichette (77). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by singles upside.
Did the top singles matchup get a single on Thursday, July 16, 2026?: Yes — A.J. Ewing got 1 single.
Are any hitters hot or due today?: Cold but due to bounce back: Juan Soto (NYM), Bo Bichette (NYM), Brandon Marsh (PHI), Carson Benge (NYM), and Gabriel Rincones Jr. (PHI).
How is the singles matchup score calculated?: It's a weighted read of the hitter's singles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — the last two weeks, the current season, and a two-year baseline, with recent form counting most. Then it folds in the opposing bullpen, his expected plate appearances from the batting order, and park and weather. Scores are set 0–100 across the day's slate, so the best matchup is always 100.
What does 1B/PA mean?: Singles per plate appearance — how often a hitter gets a one-base hit. Around .14 (roughly one every seven trips) is league average. It rewards contact hitters rather than sluggers: a single is the most common hit in baseball, so this board tends to favour high-average bats over power.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the pitcher, and the park all line up. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It's a ranking of how today's spots stack up against each other — not the odds of a single.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a single.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Most hitters do better against the opposite hand — a lefty bat vs. a righty arm, and vice versa. That gap is the platoon split. The score leans hard on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, which is why the same guy can rank very differently day to day.
What are park factors?: Parks aren't neutral. Dimensions, altitude, and weather make some easier to hit in than others. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it — same hitter, higher grade in a hitter's park than a pitcher's.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a single in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for singles props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ single" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against real results, and the top of the board lands a single a lot more often than the slate as a whole. Weights get re-tuned weekly against actual outcomes on a held-out split, and since results sit next to projections, you can audit the hit rate yourself on any past date.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.