Best MLB Singles Matchups — Thursday, September 10, 2026
Top singles spot: Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin (ATL) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Nick Martinez. The lefty is lining singles at .184 1B/PA against righties this year — and .238 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a single in about 18% of his trips. And Nick Martinez has been getting picked apart by righties lately — .240 singles per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Nick Martinez. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Chandler Simpson (TB) (96) vs LHP Martín Pérez: an elite bat at .215 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.263).
- Ronald Acuña Jr. (ATL) (94) vs RHP Nick Martinez: an excellent bat at .173 into an arm tough to string hits off the same side (.120).
- Victor Mesa Jr. (TB) (88) vs LHP Martín Pérez: an elite bat at .190 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.263), hot bat.
- Jonathan Aranda (TB) (85) vs LHP Martín Pérez: a strong bat at .157 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.263).
- Mauricio Dubón (ATL) (81) vs RHP Nick Martinez: an excellent bat at .177 into an arm tough to string hits off the same side (.120).
- Cody Bellinger (NYY) (80) vs RHP Ryan Feltner: a solid bat at .152 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.261).
- Yandy Díaz (TB) (80) vs LHP Martín Pérez: a strong bat at .161 into an arm around league average against the same side (.148).
Platoon edges to target
- Drake Baldwin (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .184 against righties this year.
- Cody Bellinger (NYY) — lefty bat vs RHP, .150 against righties this year.
- Yandy Díaz (TB) — righty bat vs LHP, .178 against lefties this year.
- Ben Rice (NYY) — lefty bat vs RHP, .106 against righties this year.
- J.P. Crawford (SEA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .122 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Victor Mesa Jr. (TB), Trea Turner (PHI), Corey Seager (TEX), Justin Foscue (TEX), and Kyle Schwarber (PHI). Cold but due to bounce back: Ben Rice (NYY), J.P. Crawford (SEA), Ezequiel Duran (TEX), Cole Carrigg (COL), and Michael Harris II (ATL).
Lineup watch
90 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these singles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's singles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.