Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Friday, July 24, 2026
Top total bases spot: Jacob Wilson
Jacob Wilson (ATH) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Zebby Matthews. The righty is racking up bases at .412 TB/PA against righties this year — and .630 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a total base in about 43% of his trips. And Zebby Matthews has been getting squared up by righties lately — .704 total bases per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Zebby Matthews too — .667 across 3 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Tyler Soderstrom (ATH) (99) vs RHP Zebby Matthews: a strong bat at .441 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.524), hot bat.
- Corbin Carroll (AZ) (95) vs LHP Carson Palmquist: a solid bat at .406 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.571).
- Yohendrick Piñango (TOR) (94) vs LHP Patrick Sandoval: a solid bat at .370 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (1.000).
- Christian Yelich (MIL) (93) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: a league-average bat at .352 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.625).
- Andy Pages (LAD) (91) vs LHP Sean Manaea: a solid bat at .414 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.556).
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) (91) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: a solid bat at .370 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.625).
- Kyle Stowers (MIA) (89) vs RHP Germán Márquez: a league-average bat at .367 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.809).
Arms giving up extra bases today
- RHP Germán Márquez has been getting squared up by righties — .457 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Kyle Stowers (MIA), Griffin Conine (MIA), and Otto Lopez (MIA).
- RHP Rhett Lowder has been getting squared up by righties — .443 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: JJ Wetherholt (STL), Alec Burleson (STL), and Jordan Walker (STL).
- RHP Zebby Matthews has been getting squared up by righties — .443 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Jacob Wilson (ATH), Tyler Soderstrom (ATH), and Shea Langeliers (ATH).
- LHP Patrick Sandoval has been getting squared up by lefties — .442 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Yohendrick Piñango (TOR), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR), and Ernie Clement (TOR).
Platoon edges to target
- Tyler Soderstrom (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .419 against righties this year.
- Christian Yelich (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .329 against righties this year.
- Andy Pages (LAD) — righty bat vs LHP, .432 against lefties this year.
- Kyle Stowers (MIA) — lefty bat vs RHP, .414 against righties this year.
- Brice Turang (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .437 against righties this year.
Lineup watch
270 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these total bases matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.