Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Saturday, July 25, 2026
Top total bases spot: Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio (MIL) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Ryan Feltner. The righty is racking up bases at .426 TB/PA against righties this year — and .273 over the last two weeks, a league-average bat that turns into a total base in about 36% of his trips. And Ryan Feltner has been getting squared up by righties lately — .762 total bases per batter faced. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .091 in 11 career PA against Ryan Feltner, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Dillon Dingler (DET) (99) vs RHP Michael Wacha: a strong bat at .462 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.500).
- Drake Baldwin (ATL) (97) vs RHP Brandon Young: a strong bat at .474 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.593).
- Joc Pederson (TEX) (97) vs RHP Bryan Woo: a strong bat at .448 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.533), hot bat.
- Christian Yelich (MIL) (97) vs RHP Ryan Feltner: a league-average bat at .353 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.700).
- Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) (95) vs LHP Shota Imanaga: an excellent bat at .522 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.395), due to bounce back.
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) (92) vs RHP Sean Burke: an elite bat at .563 into an arm tough on the same side (.240), hot bat.
- Brice Turang (MIL) (91) vs RHP Ryan Feltner: a solid bat at .388 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.700).
Arms giving up extra bases today
- LHP Robert Gasser has been getting squared up by lefties — .453 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Hunter Goodman (COL), Kyle Karros (COL), and Cole Carrigg (COL).
- RHP Ryan Feltner has been getting squared up by righties — .439 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Jackson Chourio (MIL), Christian Yelich (MIL), and Brice Turang (MIL).
- RHP Andre Pallante has been vulnerable to righties — .407 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Elly De La Cruz (CIN), JJ Bleday (CIN), and Nathaniel Lowe (CIN).
- RHP Brandon Young has been vulnerable to righties — .406 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Drake Baldwin (ATL), Matt Olson (ATL), and Michael Harris II (ATL).
Platoon edges to target
- Drake Baldwin (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .436 against righties this year.
- Joc Pederson (TEX) — lefty bat vs RHP, .419 against righties this year.
- Christian Yelich (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .329 against righties this year.
- Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) — righty bat vs LHP, .891 against lefties this year.
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) — lefty bat vs RHP, .574 against righties this year.
Lineup watch
270 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these total bases matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.