Who has the best total bases matchup today (Friday, August 28, 2026)?

Bryce Eldridge (SF) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Kohl Drake. A solid bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Friday, August 28, 2026)?

The top total bases matchups on Friday, August 28, 2026: Bryce Eldridge (100), Luke Keaschall (100), Drake Baldwin (100), Henry Bolte (99), Rafael Devers (96). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.

Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Friday, August 28, 2026?

Yes — Bryce Eldridge got 6 total bases.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Drake Baldwin (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .426 against righties this year. Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) — righty bat vs LHP, .512 against lefties this year. Coby Mayo (BAL) — righty bat vs LHP, .685 against lefties this year. Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) — righty bat vs LHP, .552 against lefties this year. Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .440 against righties this year.

Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?

RHP Brandon Young has been getting squared up by righties — .460 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Henry Bolte (ATH), Zack Gelof (ATH), and Tommy White (ATH). RHP Luis Castillo has been getting squared up by righties — .457 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Luke Keaschall (MIN), Ryan Jeffers (MIN), and Brooks Lee (MIN). RHP Tomoyuki Sugano has been getting squared up by righties — .450 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Drake Baldwin (ATL), Matt Olson (ATL), and Ozzie Albies (ATL). LHP Cody Bradford has been getting squared up by lefties — .431 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Jake Bauers (MIL), Brice Turang (MIL), and Jackson Chourio (MIL).

How is the total bases matchup score calculated?

It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.

What does TB/PA mean?

Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.

What are park factors?

Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB total bases matchups — Friday, August 28, 2026

Every hitter on the Friday, August 28, 2026 slate — ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Friday, August 28, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 3/5 (60%) on our total-bases over/under, against 45% on the season.

Top 5

3/560%

season 45%

Top 10

6/1060%

season 45%

Full slate

121/25947%

season 50%

Top call Bryce Eldridge came through. Henry Bolte didn't.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 10–8

CINaway

CHChomeTop matchup78 Final · 2–1

LADaway

DEThomeTop matchup85 Final · 2–9

MIAaway

WSHhomeTop matchup74 Final · 3–0

KCaway

CLEhomeTop matchup71 Final · 3–1

HOUaway

NYMhomeTop matchup67 Final · 4–9

SDaway

TBhomeTop matchup89 Final · 1–8

SEAaway

TORhomeTop matchup69 Final · 4–6

COLaway

ATLhomeTop matchup100 Final · 0–1

BOSaway

NYYhomeTop matchup73 Final · 1–6

TEXaway

MILhomeTop matchup87 Final · 7–4

CWSaway

MINhomeTop matchup100 Final · 1–4

PITaway

STLhomeTop matchup86 Final · 5–3

PHIaway

LAAhomeTop matchup86 Final · 4–3

BALaway

ATHhomeTop matchup99 Final · 10–6

AZaway

SFhomeTop matchup100

Not starting70 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 340 shownScore

164 with a TBLive count — updates as games play

1
George SpringerDH
TORvsSEA· 4-for-4
8TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #56
2
Lars NootbaarDH
AZ@SF· 3-for-4
7TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #99
3
Bryce EldridgeDH
SFvsAZ· 2-for-5
6TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #1
T3
Michael Harris IICF
ATLvsCOL· 2-for-3
6TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #22
5
Brooks Lee3B
MINvsCWS· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #15
T5
Seiya SuzukiRF
CHCvsCIN· 3-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #23
T5
Yandy DíazDH
TBvsSD· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #27
T5
Kody Clemens2B
MINvsCWS· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #49
T5
Sal Stewart1B
CIN@CHC· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #62
T5
Colson MontgomerySS
CWS@MIN· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #100
T5
Tyler StephensonC
CIN@CHC· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #113
T5
Kazuma Okamoto3B
TORvsSEA· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #145
T5
Dominic CanzoneDH
SEA@TOR· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #157
T5
Tim Tawa1B
AZ@SF· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #191
T5
Jackson MerrillCF
SD@TB· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #200
T5
Jose TrevinoC
CIN@CHC· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #205
17
Heriberto HernándezLF
MIA@WSH· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #31
T17
Paul Goldschmidt1B
NYYvsBOS· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #34
T17
Nathan LukesRF
TORvsSEA· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #50
T17
Carter JensenC
KC@CLE· 1-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #52
T17
Ronald Acuña Jr.RF
ATLvsCOL· 3-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #60
T17
Michael Busch1B
CHCvsCIN· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #78
T17
Christian YelichDH
MILvsTEX· 3-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #80
T17
Corbin CarrollRF
AZ@SF· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #121
T17
Pedro Ramírez2B
CHCvsCIN· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #133
T17
Wilyer AbreuRF
BOS@NYY· 2-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #136
T17
Brady House3B
WSHvsMIA· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #220
T17
Jimmy CrooksC
STLvsPIT· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #229
T17
Cedric MullinsCF
TBvsSD· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #236
T17
Harry FordC
WSHvsMIA· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #241
T17
Jonah HeimC
ATHvsBAL· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #250
T17
Danny JansenC
TEX@MIL· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #260
T17
Christian Koss3B
SFvsAZ· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #262
34
Munetaka Murakami1B
CWS@MIN· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #24
T34
Hunter GoodmanC
COL@ATL· 3-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #36
T34
Elly De La CruzSS
CIN@CHC· 3-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #46
T34
Andrew BenintendiDH
CWS@MIN· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #54
T34
Ben RiceDH
NYYvsBOS· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #79
T34
Daylen LileLF
WSHvsMIA· 1-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #132
T34
Abimelec Ortiz1B
WSHvsMIA· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #144
T34
Trevor LarnachLF
MINvsCWS· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #150
T34
Sean MurphyC
ATLvsCOL· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #151
T34
Nico Hoerner2B
CHCvsCIN· 3-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #152
T34
Nolan Arenado3B
AZ@SF· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #153
T34
Jordan WalkerRF
STLvsPIT· 3-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #154
T34
Sal FrelickRF
MILvsTEX· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #174
T34
Max ClarkCF
DETvsLAD· 1-for-2
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #181
T34
Gleyber Torres2B
DETvsLAD· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #183
T34
Isaac CollinsLF
KC@CLE· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #187
T34
Chandler SimpsonLF
TBvsSD· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #189
T34
Mickey MoniakLF
COL@ATL· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #209
T34
James McCannC
AZ@SF· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #219
53
Luke Keaschall2B
MINvsCWS· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #2
T53
Drake BaldwinC
ATLvsCOL· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #3
T53
Coby Mayo3B
BAL@ATH· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #7
T53
Zack Gelof3B
ATHvsBAL· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #9
T53
Jake Bauers1B
MILvsTEX· 2-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #10
T53
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
CHCvsCIN· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #25
T53
Jared TrioloSS
PIT@STL· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #26
T53
Jac CaglianoneRF
KC@CLE· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #35
T53
Brett BatemanCF
TORvsSEA· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #37
T53
Freddie Freeman1B
LAD@DET· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #42
T53
Max Muncy3B
ATHvsBAL· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #45
T53
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
TORvsSEA· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #63
T53
William ContrerasC
MILvsTEX· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #67
T53
Alex Bregman3B
CHCvsCIN· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #84
T53
Javier Sanoja3B
MIA@WSH· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #87
T53
Kyle SchwarberDH
PHI@LAA· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #88
T53
Bobby Witt Jr.SS
KC@CLE· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #89
T53
Mauricio DubónLF
ATLvsCOL· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #97
T53
Carson BengeRF
NYMvsHOU· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #101
T53
Oneil CruzCF
PIT@STL· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #115
T53
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
BOS@NYY· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #120
T53
Dylan CrewsRF
WSHvsMIA· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #142
T53
David Hamilton3B
MILvsTEX· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #149
T53
Luis Arraez2B
PHI@LAA· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #161
T53
Trea TurnerSS
PHI@LAA· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #170
T53
Chase Meidroth2B
CWS@MIN· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #180
T53
Nolan Gorman3B
STLvsPIT· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #203
T53
Patrick BaileyC
CLEvsKC· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #215
T53
Marcus Semien2B
NYMvsHOU· 2-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #221
T53
Teoscar HernándezLF
LAD@DET· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #223
T53
Josh Rojas3B
KC@CLE· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #227
T53
Eduardo ValenciaDH
DETvsLAD· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #232
T53
Cole Young2B
SEA@TOR· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #233
T53
Zac VeenLF
COL@ATL· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #237
T53
José FermínLF
STLvsPIT· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #252
T53
Héctor RodríguezRF
CIN@CHC· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #256
T53
Taylor WallsSS
TBvsSD· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #258
T53
Joshua BáezLF
STLvsPIT· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.2 TB, #270
T53
Colton CowserCF
BAL@ATH· 1-for-1
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB
92
Rafael Devers1B
SFvsAZ· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #5
T92
Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
SD@TB· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #6
T92
Wade MecklerLF
LAAvsPHI· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #11
T92
Tommy White3B
ATHvsBAL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #12
T92
Matt Olson1B
ATLvsCOL· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #16
T92
Jeff McNeil2B
ATHvsBAL· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #18
T92
Ozzie Albies2B
ATLvsCOL· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #21
T92
Jung Hoo LeeRF
SFvsAZ· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #29
T92
Brice Turang2B
MILvsTEX· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #33
T92
Blaze Alexander3B
BAL@ATH· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #38
T92
Jackson ChourioLF
MILvsTEX· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #40
T92
Miguel Vargas3B
CWS@MIN· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #44
T92
Tristan PetersCF
CWS@MIN· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #48
T92
Junior Caminero3B
TBvsSD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #51
T92
Christian Encarnacion-Strand3B
BAL@ATH· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #53
T92
Jeremy PeñaSS
HOU@NYM· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #59
T92
Braden MontgomeryRF
CWS@MIN· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #64
T92
Vinnie Pasquantino1B
KC@CLE· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #66
T92
Kaelen CulpepperSS
MINvsCWS· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #70
T92
Ian HappLF
CHCvsCIN· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #72
T92
Chase DeLauterRF
CLEvsKC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #73
T92
Nick Gonzales3B
PIT@STL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #82
T92
Jo AdellRF
CLEvsKC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #83
T92
Lawrence ButlerRF
ATHvsBAL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #85
T92
Josh BellDH
MINvsCWS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #90
T92
Otto LopezSS
MIA@WSH· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #91
T92
Jonathan Aranda1B
TBvsSD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #93
T92
Tommy Edman2B
LAD@DET· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #94
T92
Royce Lewis1B
MINvsCWS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #95
T92
Mike TroutCF
LAAvsPHI· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #98
T92
Francisco LindorSS
NYMvsHOU· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #103
T92
Mike YastrzemskiLF
ATLvsCOL· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #109
T92
Daulton VarshoCF
HOU@NYM· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #111
T92
Nick Yorke3B
PIT@STL· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #116
T92
Mookie BettsSS
LAD@DET· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #119
T92
Jake McCarthyLF
COL@ATL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #122
T92
Alec Bohm3B
PHI@LAA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #124
T92
Randy ArozarenaLF
SEA@TOR· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #125
T92
Bryce Harper1B
PHI@LAA· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #131
T92
Xavier Edwards2B
MIA@WSH· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #134
T92
Joey OrtizSS
MILvsTEX· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #138
T92
Jose Altuve2B
HOU@NYM· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #139
T92
Jonny DeLucaRF
TBvsSD· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #143
T92
Xander BogaertsSS
SD@TB· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #148
T92
Julio RodríguezCF
SEA@TOR· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #156
T92
Cole CarriggCF
COL@ATL· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #167
T92
Kyle TuckerRF
LAD@DET· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #172
T92
Andrés GiménezSS
TORvsSEA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #175
T92
Carlos CortesRF
ATHvsBAL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #177
T92
Salvador PerezDH
KC@CLE· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #179
T92
Yainer DiazC
HOU@NYM· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #182
T92
Willi Castro2B
COL@ATL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #186
T92
TJ Rumfield1B
COL@ATL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #190
T92
Walker JenkinsCF
MINvsCWS· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #194
T92
Jorge MateoSS
TBvsSD· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #196
T92
Luis TorrensC
NYMvsHOU· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #198
T92
Kyle Stowers1B
MIA@WSH· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #201
T92
Ezequiel TovarSS
COL@ATL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #208
T92
Geraldo PerdomoSS
AZ@SF· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #211
T92
Petey HalpinCF
CLEvsKC· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #212
T92
Christian Moore2B
LAAvsPHI· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #222
T92
Brayan RocchioSS
CLEvsKC· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #224
T92
Bryan De La CruzRF
PHI@LAA· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #230
T92
JJ BledayLF
CIN@CHC· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #231
T92
Dylan BeaversLF
BAL@ATH· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #239
T92
Jorbit Vivas3B
WSHvsMIA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #248
T92
Ildemaro Vargas1B
AZ@SF· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #261
T92
Derek HillCF
PHI@LAA· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #268
T92
Brett CallahanLF
DETvsLAD· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB
T92
Miguel Rojas2B
LAD@DET· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB
T92
Myles StrawCF
TORvsSEA· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB
T92
Enrique Hernández3B
LAD@DET· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB
T92
Justin Foscue2B
TEX@MIL· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB

Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Friday, August 28, 2026

Bryce Eldridge (SF) is the top total bases matchup on the Friday, August 28, 2026 board at 100, with Luke Keaschall (MIN) and Drake Baldwin (ATL) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots — raw power, the arm and bullpen they face, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top total bases spot: Bryce Eldridge

Bryce Eldridge (SF) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Kohl Drake. The lefty is racking up bases at .407 TB/PA against lefties this year — and .591 over the last two weeks, a solid bat that turns into a total base in about 41% of his trips. And Kohl Drake has been thin against lefties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Kohl Drake. It all sets up in a neutral park.

The rest of the top of the board

Luke Keaschall (MIN) (100) vs RHP Luis Castillo: a solid bat at .394 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (1.056), due to bounce back.
Drake Baldwin (ATL) (100) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: a strong bat at .421 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.600).
Henry Bolte (ATH) (99) vs RHP Brandon Young: a league-average bat at .351 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (1.000).
Rafael Devers (SF) (96) vs LHP Kohl Drake: a league-average bat at .355 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) (89) vs LHP Shane McClanahan: a strong bat at .467 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.480).
Coby Mayo (BAL) (89) vs LHP Jacob Lopez: an excellent bat at .515 into an arm tough on the same side (.286).
Ryan Jeffers (MIN) (88) vs RHP Luis Castillo: a solid bat at .380 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (1.056).

Arms giving up extra bases today

RHP Brandon Young has been getting squared up by righties — .460 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Henry Bolte (ATH), Zack Gelof (ATH), and Tommy White (ATH).
RHP Luis Castillo has been getting squared up by righties — .457 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Luke Keaschall (MIN), Ryan Jeffers (MIN), and Brooks Lee (MIN).
RHP Tomoyuki Sugano has been getting squared up by righties — .450 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Drake Baldwin (ATL), Matt Olson (ATL), and Ozzie Albies (ATL).
LHP Cody Bradford has been getting squared up by lefties — .431 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Jake Bauers (MIL), Brice Turang (MIL), and Jackson Chourio (MIL).

Platoon edges to target

Drake Baldwin (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .426 against righties this year.
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) — righty bat vs LHP, .512 against lefties this year.
Coby Mayo (BAL) — righty bat vs LHP, .685 against lefties this year.
Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) — righty bat vs LHP, .552 against lefties this year.
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .440 against righties this year.

How it played out

8 of the top 10 total bases matchups landed at least one total base. Top play Bryce Eldridge finished with 6 total bases. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these total bases matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

What the total bases board is

The Total Bases board projects how many bases a hitter racks up vs the posted total-bases line. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His extra-base pop vs this arm.
The park.
Recent contact quality.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Total bases grades right at break-even even when we tune it to the hilt — the book prices the marginal leans efficiently. Transparency board.

How to use it

See who the model projects for extra-base damage; no systematic edge to bet.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best total bases matchup today (Friday, August 28, 2026)?: Bryce Eldridge (SF) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Kohl Drake. A solid bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Friday, August 28, 2026)?: The top total bases matchups on Friday, August 28, 2026: Bryce Eldridge (100), Luke Keaschall (100), Drake Baldwin (100), Henry Bolte (99), Rafael Devers (96). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.
Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Friday, August 28, 2026?: Yes — Bryce Eldridge got 6 total bases.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Drake Baldwin (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .426 against righties this year. Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) — righty bat vs LHP, .512 against lefties this year. Coby Mayo (BAL) — righty bat vs LHP, .685 against lefties this year. Esmerlyn Valdez (PIT) — righty bat vs LHP, .552 against lefties this year. Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .440 against righties this year.
Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?: RHP Brandon Young has been getting squared up by righties — .460 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Henry Bolte (ATH), Zack Gelof (ATH), and Tommy White (ATH). RHP Luis Castillo has been getting squared up by righties — .457 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Luke Keaschall (MIN), Ryan Jeffers (MIN), and Brooks Lee (MIN). RHP Tomoyuki Sugano has been getting squared up by righties — .450 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Drake Baldwin (ATL), Matt Olson (ATL), and Ozzie Albies (ATL). LHP Cody Bradford has been getting squared up by lefties — .431 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Jake Bauers (MIL), Brice Turang (MIL), and Jackson Chourio (MIL).
How is the total bases matchup score calculated?: It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.
What does TB/PA mean?: Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.
What are park factors?: Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.