Best MLB Triples Matchups — Tuesday, June 23, 2026
Top triples spot: Jake McCarthy
Jake McCarthy (COL) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Sonny Gray. The lefty is running the bases at — 3B/PA against righties this year, a solid bat that turns into a triple in about 0% of his trips. And Sonny Gray has been thin against righties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Sonny Gray. It all sets up in a hitter's park, though the weather fights it.
The rest of the top of the board
- Nate Eaton (BOS) (100) vs LHP Sean Sullivan: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
- Zack Gelof (ATH) (96) vs LHP Robbie Ray: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hot bat.
- Luis Arraez (SF) (96) vs RHP Aaron Civale: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Zach Neto (LAA) (96) vs RHP Shane Baz: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Taylor Ward (BAL) (96) vs RHP Ryan Johnson: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) (91) vs LHP Sean Sullivan: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
- Mickey Moniak (COL) (91) vs RHP Sonny Gray: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
Parks where triples happen today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% triple park). Top bat there: Jake McCarthy (COL) at 100.
How it played out
0 of the top 10 triples matchups landed at least one triple. Top play Jake McCarthy finished with 0 triples. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these triples matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's triples per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.