Best MLB Triples Matchups — Wednesday, August 26, 2026
Top triples spot: Nathan Church
Nathan Church (STL) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Kyle Bradish. The lefty is running the bases at .007 3B/PA against righties this year — and .038 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a triple in about 1% of his trips. And Kyle Bradish has been vulnerable to the gaps against righties lately — .029 triples per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.3 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Kyle Bradish. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (100) vs RHP AJ Smith-Shawver: an elite bat at .017 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000).
- Kody Clemens (MIN) (100) vs RHP J.T. Ginn: an elite bat at .013 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000).
- Corbin Carroll (AZ) (100) vs LHP Matthew Boyd: an elite bat at .029 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000).
- Jake Mangum (PIT) (77) vs RHP Randy Vásquez: an elite bat at .011 into an arm vulnerable to the gaps against the same side (.033), hitter's park, due to bounce back.
- Jonah Cox (SF) (75) vs LHP Nick Lodolo: an elite bat at .021 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000), hitter's park.
- Hunter Goodman (COL) (74) vs RHP Matt Waldron: an elite bat at .012 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000).
- Anthony Seigler (BOS) (73) vs RHP Ryan Gusto: an elite bat at .013 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000).
Platoon edges to target
- Nathan Church (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .007 against righties this year.
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .011 against righties this year.
- Kody Clemens (MIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .011 against righties this year.
- Jake Mangum (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .007 against righties this year.
- Jonah Cox (SF) — righty bat vs LHP, .054 against lefties this year.
Parks where triples happen today
- Petco Park is playing as hitter-friendly today (+3% triple park). Top bat there: Jake Mangum (PIT) at 77.
- Oracle Park is playing as hitter-friendly today (+3% triple park). Top bat there: Jonah Cox (SF) at 75.
- Angel Stadium is playing as hitter-friendly today (+3% triple park). Top bat there: Zach Neto (LAA) at 67.
How it played out
0 of the top 10 triples matchups landed at least one triple. Top play Nathan Church finished with 0 triples. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these triples matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's triples per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.