Best MLB Triples Matchups — Monday, September 7, 2026
Top triples spot: Shohei Ohtani
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Chase Burns. The lefty is running the bases at .010 3B/PA against righties this year — and .036 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a triple in about 1% of his trips. And Chase Burns has been vulnerable to the gaps against righties lately — .035 triples per batter faced. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Chase Burns too — .333 across 3 career trips. It all sets up in a park that leans hitter.
The rest of the top of the board
- Alika Williams (ATH) (100) vs RHP Dylan Cease: an elite bat at .012 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000).
- Ryan Jeffers (MIN) (93) vs RHP Troy Melton: an elite bat at .010 into an arm vulnerable to the gaps against the same side (.043).
- Brett Bateman (TOR) (87) vs LHP Jacob Lopez: an excellent bat at .008 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000), hot bat.
- Daylen Lile (WSH) (78) vs RHP Nick Pivetta: an elite bat at .013 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
- Henry Bolte (ATH) (78) vs RHP Dylan Cease: an excellent bat at .008 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000).
- Zack Gelof (ATH) (76) vs RHP Dylan Cease: an excellent bat at .008 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000).
- Jackson Merrill (SD) (65) vs RHP Jake Irvin: an elite bat at .011 into an arm tough to triple against the same side (.000), hitter's park, due to bounce back.
Platoon edges to target
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .010 against righties this year.
- Daylen Lile (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .011 against righties this year.
- Jackson Merrill (SD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .007 against righties this year.
- Tommy Edman (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .011 against righties this year.
- Roman Anthony (BOS) — lefty bat vs RHP, .016 against righties this year.
Parks where triples happen today
- UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium is playing as hitter-friendly today (+3% triple park). Top bat there: Shohei Ohtani (LAD) at 100.
- Petco Park is playing as hitter-friendly today (+3% triple park). Top bat there: Daylen Lile (WSH) at 78.
- Oracle Park is playing as hitter-friendly today (+3% triple park). Top bat there: Bryan Torres (STL) at 52.
How it played out
0 of the top 10 triples matchups landed at least one triple. Top play Shohei Ohtani finished with 0 triples. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these triples matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's triples per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.