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MLS Match Board — Sunday, February 22, 2026

Every MLS match on Sunday, February 22, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Sunday, February 22, 2026 · how the model graded
2026 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 259 of 450 on Over 2.5, 212 of 450 on BTTS.

Sunday, February 22

MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
FT · 1–1
xG1.7–1.4
Match page →
LALA GalaxyHOME✗43%1.7xG+131fair+138mkt+1.3%
Draw26%—xG+284fair+286mkt+0.2%
NYCNew York City FCAWAY31%1.4xG+226fair+211mkt-1.5%
O2.5 58% · mkt 55% ✗BTTS 62% ✓1H O1.5 40% ✓
FT · 2–0
xG2.2–1.3
Match page →
SEASeattle Sounders FCHOME✓58%2.2xG-137fair-227mkt-11.6%
Draw22%—xG+360fair+453mkt+3.6%
COLColorado RapidsAWAY20%1.3xG+391fair+706mktModel lean+8.0%
O2.5 68% ✗BTTS 65% ✗1H O1.5 47% ✓

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).