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MLS Match Board — Sunday, May 24, 2026

Every MLS match on Sunday, May 24, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

Sunday, May 24, 2026 · how the model graded
2026 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 258 of 449 on Over 2.5, 211 of 449 on BTTS.

Sunday, May 24

MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
FT · 2–0
xG1.7–1.1
Match page →
CLBColumbus CrewHOME✓50%1.7xG+101fair-150mkt-10.2%
Draw27%—xG+274fair+365mktModel lean+5.2%
ATLAtlanta United FCAWAY24%1.1xG+325fair+456mktModel lean+5.5%
O2.5 52% ✗BTTS 55% ✗1H O1.5 35% ✗
FT · 6–4
xG2.2–1.3
Match page →
MIAInter Miami CFHOME✓57%2.2xG-132fair-241mkt-13.7%
Draw22%—xG+352fair+508mktModel lean+5.7%
PHIPhiladelphia UnionAWAY21%1.3xG+377fair+691mktModel lean+8.3%
O2.5 67% ✓BTTS 65% ✓1H O1.5 46% ✗
FT · 1–0
xG1.8–1.3
Match page →
LAFCLAFCHOME✓47%1.8xG+111fair+107mkt-0.9%
Draw26%—xG+292fair+300mkt+0.5%
SEASeattle Sounders FCAWAY27%1.3xG+268fair+272mkt+0.3%
O2.5 59% · mkt 60% ✗BTTS 61% ✗1H O1.5 40% ✓

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).